Extent:
Online-Ressource (xviii, 201 p)
ill
Series:
Type of publication: Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories): Bibliografie enthalten ; Bibliography included
Language: English
Notes:
Includes bibliographical references and index
Systemvoraussetzungen: Acrobat Reader
Cover; Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting; THE ECONOMETRIC AND TINBERGEN INSTITUTES LECTURES; Title; Copyright; Dedication; Contents; List of Illustrations; Illustrations; Figures; Tables; Introduction; Preface; Additional Acknowledgment; 1 Facts, Factors, and Questions; 1.1 Three Interest Rate Curves; 1.2 Zero-Coupon Yields; 1.3 Yield Curve Facts; 1.1 Bond Yields in Three Dimensions; 1.4 Yield Curve Factors; 1.1 Bond Yield Statistics; 1.2 Yield Spread Statistics; 1.2 Bond Yields in Two Dimensions; 1.3 Bond Yield Principal Components; 1.3 Yield Principal Components Statistics
1.4 Empirical Level, Slope, and Curvature and First Three Principal Components of Bond Yields1.5 Yield Curve Questions; 1.6 Onward; 2 Dynamic Nelson-Siegel; 2.1 Curve Fitting; 2.2 Introducing Dynamics; 2.1 DNS Factor Loadings; 2.3 State-Space Representation; 2.4 Estimation; 2.5 Multicountry Modeling; 2.6 Risk Management; 2.7 DNS Fit and Forecasting; 2.2 Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance: DNS vs. Random Walk; 3 Arbitrage-Free Nelson-Siegel; 3.1 A Two-Factor Warm-Up; 3.2 The Duffie-Kan Framework; 3.3 Making DNS Arbitrage-Free; 3.4 Workhorse Models; 3.5 AFNS Restrictions on A0(3)
3.6 Estimation3.1 AFNS Parameter Restrictions on the Canonical A0(3) Model; 3.7 AFNS Fit and Forecasting; 3.2 Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance: Four DNS and AFNS Models; 3.3 Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance: Random Walk, A0(3), and AFNSindep; 4 Extensions; 4.1 Variations on the Basic Theme; 4.2 Additional Yield Factors; 4.1 DNSS Factor Loadings; 4.2 DGNS Factor Loadings; 4.3 Stochastic Volatility; 4.4 Macroeconomic Fundamentals; 5 Macro-Finance; 5.1 Macro-Finance Yield Curve Modeling; 5.2 Macro-Finance and AFNS; 5.1 Nominal and Real Yields and BEI Rates
5.2 BEI Rates and Expected Inflation5.3 Probabilities of Nonpositive Net Inflation; 5.4 LIBOR Spreads; 5.3 Evolving Research Directions; 6 Epilogue; 6.1 Is Imposition of No-Arbitrage Helpful?; 6.2 Is AFNS the Only Tractable A0(3) Model?; 6.3 Is AFNS Special?; Appendixes; Appendix A Two-Factor AFNS Calculations; A.1 Risk-Neutral Probability; A.2 Euler Equation; Appendix B Details of AFNS Restrictions; B.1 Independent-Factor AFNS; B.2 Correlated-Factor AFNS; Appendix C The AFGNS Yield-Adjustment Term; Bibliography; Index
Electronic reproduction; Available via World Wide Web
ISBN: 978-1-4008-4541-5 ; 978-0-691-14680-5 ; 0-691-14680-2 ; 1-299-05121-9 ; 978-0-691-14680-5 ; 978-1-299-05121-8
Source:
ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010244226