Dovern, Jonas; Ziegler, Christina - In: Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik) 54 (2008) 4, pp. 293-318
In this paper we analyze the power of various indicators to predict growth rates of aggregate production using real-time data. In addition, we assess their ability to predict recessions. We consider four groups of indicators: survey data, composite indicators, real economic indicators, and...