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subject:"Frühindikator"
~isPartOf:"International journal of forecasting"
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Frühindikator
Business cycle
57
Konjunktur
56
Forecasting model
40
Prognoseverfahren
40
Leading indicator
31
Time series analysis
20
Zeitreihenanalyse
20
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17
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17
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13
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10
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Bruttoinlandsprodukt
9
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National income
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Business cycle turning point
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Ferrara, Laurent
3
Aastveit, Knut Are
2
Dijk, Dick van
2
Döpke, Jörg
2
Marcellino, Massimiliano
2
Scheufele, Rolf
2
Anundsen, André Kallåk
1
Ball, Laurence M.
1
Barsoum, Fady
1
Cai, Michael
1
Carnow, Warren
1
Carstensen, Kai
1
Chauvet, Marcelle
1
Del Negro, Marco
1
Dovern, Jonas
1
Ericsson, Neil R.
1
Foroni, Claudia
1
Fritsche, Ulrich
1
Galbraith, John W.
1
Galimberti, Jaqueson K.
1
Gargano, Antonio
1
Garratt, Anthony
1
Giannoni, Marc Paolo
1
Glocker, Christian
1
Guggia, Valentino
1
Gupta, Abhi
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Hansen, Anne Lundgaard
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Heinisch, Katja
1
Heinrich, Markus
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Herstad, Eyo I.
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Huang, Yu-Fan
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Jalles, João Tovar
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Jore, Anne Sofie
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Katsuura, Masaki
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1
Layton, Allan P.
1
Lee, Kevin C.
1
Levanon, Gad
1
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International journal of forecasting
Ifo-Schnelldienst
98
Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge
82
Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik
57
DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft
42
Die Weltwirtschaft : Vierteljahresschrift des Instituts für Weltwirtschaft an der Universität Kiel
36
Monatsberichte / WIFO, Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
36
Wirtschaft im Wandel
36
Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur : im ...
35
DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a policy bulletin from the German Institute for Economic Research
34
Kiel Institute economic outlook
29
Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur
23
Ifo Dresden berichtet
19
Report / IMK, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung
19
Deutsche Konjunktur im ...
16
CESifo working papers
13
Gemeinschaftsdiagnose
13
IW-Trends : Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung aus dem Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft Köln
13
Economics letters
12
HWWA-Report
12
NBER working paper series
12
Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria
11
European business cycle indicators
11
European economy <Luxembourg> / Technical paper
11
Ifo-Wirtschaftskonjunktur : Monatsberichte des Ifo-Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung
11
NBER Working Paper
11
Gemeinschaftsdiagnose ...
10
Journal of forecasting
10
Journal of macroeconomics
9
KOF Studien
9
KOF-Analysen : Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose ...
9
Wirtschaftsprognose : Konjunktur und Kapitalmärkte, Deutschland und seine wichtigsten Handelspartner
9
Working paper
9
Applied economics letters
8
Discussion papers / CEPR
8
Economic modelling
8
European economy
8
Jahresgutachten / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der Gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung
8
DIW economic bulletin
7
Intereconomics : review of European economic policy
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ECONIS (ZBW)
31
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1
Accelerating peak dating in a dynamic factor Markov-switching model
Os, Bram van
;
Dijk, Dick van
- In:
International journal of forecasting
40
(
2024
)
1
,
pp. 313-323
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014450273
Saved in:
2
Predicting recessions using VIX-yield curve cycles
Hansen, Anne Lundgaard
- In:
International journal of forecasting
40
(
2024
)
1
,
pp. 409-422
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014450279
Saved in:
3
Weekly economic activity : measurement and informational content
Wegmüller, Philipp
;
Glocker, Christian
;
Guggia, Valentino
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 228-243
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462777
Saved in:
4
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery : lessons from the financial crisis
Foroni, Claudia
;
Marcellino, Massimiliano
;
Stevanović, …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 596-612
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348666
Saved in:
5
Improved recession dating using stock market volatility
Huang, Yu-Fan
;
Startz, Richard
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 507-514
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415194
Saved in:
6
Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model : an application to the German business cycle
Carstensen, Kai
;
Heinrich, Markus
;
Reif, Magnus
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 829-850
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496873
Saved in:
7
Nowcasting in real time using popularity priors
Monokroussos, George
;
Zhao, Yongchen
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 1173-1180
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012498588
Saved in:
8
DSGE forecasts of the lost recovery
Cai, Michael
;
Del Negro, Marco
;
Giannoni, Marc Paolo
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1770-1789
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305528
Saved in:
9
Residential investment and recession predictability
Aastveit, Knut Are
;
Anundsen, André Kallåk
;
Herstad, …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1790-1799
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305530
Saved in:
10
Predicting recessions with boosted regression trees
Döpke, Jörg
;
Fritsche, Ulrich
;
Pierdzioch, Christian
- In:
International journal of forecasting
33
(
2017
)
4
,
pp. 745-759
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746903
Saved in:
11
Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle
Dovern, Jonas
;
Jannsen, Nils
- In:
International journal of forecasting
33
(
2017
)
4
,
pp. 760-769
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746905
Saved in:
12
Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations
Kaufmann, Daniel
;
Scheufele, Rolf
- In:
International journal of forecasting
33
(
2017
)
4
,
pp. 878-893
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746922
Saved in:
13
What predicts US recessions?
Liu, Weiling
;
Mönch, Emanuel
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
4
,
pp. 1138-1150
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622116
Saved in:
14
Herding behavior of business cycle forecasters
Rülke, Jan-Christoph
;
Silgoner, Maria
;
Wörz, Julia
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
1
,
pp. 23-33
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596435
Saved in:
15
Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles
Aastveit, Knut Are
;
Jore, Anne Sofie
;
Ravazzolo, Francesco
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
2
,
pp. 283-292
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596749
Saved in:
16
A dynamic factor model of the yield curve components as a predictor of the economy
Chauvet, Marcelle
;
Senyuz, Zeynep
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
2
,
pp. 324-343
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596830
Saved in:
17
Improving the reliability of real-time output gap estimates using survey forecasts
Galimberti, Jaqueson K.
;
Moura, Marcelo
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
2
,
pp. 358-373
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597118
Saved in:
18
Forecasting global recessions in a GVAR model of actual and expected output
Garratt, Anthony
;
Lee, Kevin C.
;
Shields, Kalvinder K.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
2
,
pp. 374-390
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597120
Saved in:
19
Eliciting GDP forecasts from the FOMC's minutes around the financial crisis
Ericsson, Neil R.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
2
,
pp. 571-583
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597221
Saved in:
20
Using financial indicators to predict turning points in the business cycle : the case of the leading economic index for the United States
Levanon, Gad
;
Manini, Jean-Claude
;
Ozyildirim, Ataman
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
2
,
pp. 399-425
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474152
Saved in:
21
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession : the return of non-linearity?
Ferrara, Laurent
;
Marcellino, Massimiliano
;
Mogliani, Matteo
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
3
,
pp. 664-679
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474466
Saved in:
22
Forecasting GDP growth using mixed-frequency models with switching regimes
Barsoum, Fady
;
Stankiewicz, Sandra
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
1
,
pp. 33-50
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327124
Saved in:
23
Do forecasters believe in Okun's Law? : an assessment of unemployment and output forecasts
Ball, Laurence M.
;
Jalles, João Tovar
;
Loungani, Prakash
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
1
,
pp. 176-184
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327386
Saved in:
24
Evaluating a vector of the Fed's forecasts
Sinclair, Tara M.
;
Stekler, Herman O.
;
Carnow, Warren
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
1
,
pp. 157-164
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327393
Saved in:
25
Forecasting the business cycle : editorial
Ferrara, Laurent
;
Dijk, Dick van
- In:
International journal of forecasting
30
(
2014
)
3
,
pp. 517-519
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512290
Saved in:
26
Special section 1: Forecasting the business cycle
Ferrara, Laurent
(
contributor
)
- In:
International journal of forecasting
30
(
2014
)
3
,
pp. 517-687
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512293
Saved in:
27
Forecasting commodity price indexes using macroeconomic and financial predictors
Gargano, Antonio
;
Timmermann, Allan
- In:
International journal of forecasting
30
(
2014
)
3
,
pp. 825-843
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516048
Saved in:
28
The performance of short-term forecasts of the German economy before and during the 2008/2009 recession
Heinisch, Katja
;
Scheufele, Rolf
- In:
International journal of forecasting
28
(
2012
)
2
,
pp. 428-445
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582565
Saved in:
29
Kernel-based calibration diagnostics for recession and inflation probability forecasts
Galbraith, John W.
;
Van Norden, Simon
- In:
International journal of forecasting
27
(
2011
)
4
,
pp. 1041-1057
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009316920
Saved in:
30
Comparison of regime switching, probit and logit models in dating and forecasting US business cycles
Layton, Allan P.
;
Katsuura, Masaki
- In:
International journal of forecasting
17
(
2001
)
3
,
pp. 403-417
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001604362
Saved in:
31
Macroeconomic forecasts and the nature of economic shocks in Germany
Döpke, Jörg
- In:
International journal of forecasting
17
(
2001
)
2
,
pp. 181-201
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001575593
Saved in:
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