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subject:"Forecasting model"
isPartOf:"The journal of economics"
~isPartOf:"Applied economics letters"
~isPartOf:"Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association"
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The journal of economics
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SVARs identification through bounds on the forecast error variance
Volpicella, Alessio
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
40
(
2022
)
3
,
pp. 1291-1301
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013539513
Saved in:
2
Reconciled estimates of monthly GDP in the United States
Koop, Gary
;
McIntyre, Stuart
;
Mitchell, James
;
Poon, Aubrey
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 563-577
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448358
Saved in:
3
Using survey information for improving the density nowcasting of U.S. GDP
Çakmaklı, Cem
;
Demircan, Hamza
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 667-682
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448419
Saved in:
4
Structural breaks in grouped heterogeneity
Smith, Simon C.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 752-764
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448432
Saved in:
5
Large hybrid time-varying parameter VARs
Chan, Joshua
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 890-905
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448455
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6
Overnight GARCH-Itô volatility models
Kim, Donggyu
;
Shin, Minseok
;
Wang, Yazhen
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1215-1227
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448607
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7
Corporate probability of default : a single-index hazard model approach
Li, Shaobo
;
Tian, Shaonan
;
Yu, Yan
;
Zhu, Xiaorui
;
Lian, Heng
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1288-1299
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448636
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8
Newspaper-based equity uncertainty or implied volatility index : new evidence from oil market volatility predictability
Lu, Xinjie
;
Ma, Feng
;
Li, Pan
;
Li, Tao
- In:
Applied economics letters
30
(
2023
)
7
,
pp. 960-964
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014303607
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9
Forecasting exchange rate markets' volatility of G7 countries : will stock market volatility help?
Zhang, Feipeng
;
Zhang, Zhao
- In:
Applied economics letters
30
(
2023
)
7
,
pp. 991-999
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014303619
Saved in:
10
Does forward guidance of the ECB matter for the accuracy of private sector inflation forecasts?
Burden, David
;
Fendel, Ralf
;
Zimmermann, Lilli
- In:
Applied economics letters
30
(
2023
)
9
,
pp. 1213-1217
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014303844
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11
Is idiosyncratic tail risk priced in the cross-section of bond returns? : evidence from Chinese bond markets
Huang, Wei-Qiang
;
Zhang, Jing
;
Liu, Peipei
- In:
Applied economics letters
30
(
2023
)
10
,
pp. 1318-1326
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014304235
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12
How to predict the economic growth rates of a country? : a DSGE model with the accumulation of human capital
Mu, Junlin
;
Yan, Lipeng
- In:
Applied economics letters
30
(
2023
)
11
,
pp. 1540-1560
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014304416
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13
Prediction accuracy of volatility using the score-driven Meixner distribution : an application to the Dow Jones
Blazsek, Szabolcs
;
Licht, Adrian
- In:
Applied economics letters
29
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 111-117
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012803390
Saved in:
14
Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter
Quast, Josefine
;
Wolters, Maik H.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
40
(
2022
)
1
,
pp. 152-168
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804095
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15
Nonlinear predictability of stock returns? : parametric versus nonparametric inference in predictive regressions
Demetrescu, Matei
;
Hillmann, Benjamin
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
40
(
2022
)
1
,
pp. 382-397
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804123
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16
Can demographic structures help predict equity premiums? : evidence from a panel with cross-section dependence
Kim, Seonghoon
;
Moon, Seongman
- In:
Applied economics letters
29
(
2022
)
7
,
pp. 635-639
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171008
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17
Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany
Foltas, Alexander
;
Pierdzioch, Christian
- In:
Applied economics letters
29
(
2022
)
10
,
pp. 867-872
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013411808
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18
Forecasting charge-off rates with a panel Tobit model : the role of uncertainty
Sheng, Xin
;
Gupta, Rangan
;
Ji, Qiang
- In:
Applied economics letters
29
(
2022
)
10
,
pp. 927-931
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013411847
Saved in:
19
A note on oil price shocks and the forecastability of gold realized volatility
Demirer, Rıza
;
Gupta, Rangan
;
Pierdzioch, Christian
; …
- In:
Applied economics letters
28
(
2021
)
21
,
pp. 1889-1897
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697706
Saved in:
20
Price dividend ratio and long-run stock returns : a score-driven state space model
Delle Monache, Davide
;
Petrella, Ivan
;
Venditti, Fabrizio
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
39
(
2021
)
4
,
pp. 1054-1065
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653225
Saved in:
21
Inducing sparsity and shrinkage in time-varying parameter models
Huber, Florian
;
Koop, Gary
;
Onorante, Luca
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
39
(
2021
)
3
,
pp. 669-683
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012588006
Saved in:
22
Cryptocurrency return reversals
Kozlowski, Steven E.
;
Puleo, Michael R.
;
Zhou, Jizhou
- In:
Applied economics letters
28
(
2021
)
11
,
pp. 887-893
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012589685
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23
Forecasting stock market volatility using implied volatility : evidence from extended realized EGARCH-MIDAS model
Wu, Xinyu
;
Wang, Xiaona
;
Wang, Haiyun
- In:
Applied economics letters
28
(
2021
)
11
,
pp. 915-920
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012589699
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24
Testing nowcast monotonicity with estimated factors
Fosten, Jack
;
Gutknecht, Daniel
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
1
,
pp. 107-123
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179524
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25
Markov-switching three-pass regression filter
Guérin, Pierre
;
Leiva-Leon, Danilo
;
Marcellino, …
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 285-302
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262467
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26
Real-time macroeconomic forecasting with a heteroscedastic inversion copula
Loiza-Maya, Ruben
;
Smith, Michael S.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 470-486
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262488
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27
Implications of return predictability for consumption dynamics and asset pricing
Favero, Carlo A.
;
Ortu, Fulvio
;
Tamoni, Andrea
;
Yang, Haoxi
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 527-541
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262492
Saved in:
28
Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility : evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data
Gupta, Rangan
;
Marfatia, Hardik A.
;
Olson, Eric
- In:
Applied economics letters
27
(
2020
)
16
,
pp. 1305-1311
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012267127
Saved in:
29
Sentiment's effect on the variance of stock returns
Olson, Eric
;
Nowak, Adam
- In:
Applied economics letters
27
(
2020
)
18
,
pp. 1469-1473
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012315615
Saved in:
30
The source of real oil price fluctuations: a fresh view from the frequency domain
Yanfeng, Wei
;
Zhang, Liguo
;
Li, Qirui
- In:
Applied economics letters
27
(
2020
)
17
,
pp. 1395-1399
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012313055
Saved in:
31
Adaptive shrinkage in Bayesian vector autoregressive models
Huber, Florian
;
Feldkircher, Martin
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
37
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 27-39
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175868
Saved in:
32
Forecasting value at risk and expected shortfall using a semiparametric approach based on the asymmetric laplace distribution
Taylor, James W.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
37
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 121-133
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012176554
Saved in:
33
Random effects probit and logit : understanding predictions and marginal effects
Bland, James R.
;
Cook, Amanda C.
- In:
Applied economics letters
26
(
2019
)
2
,
pp. 116-123
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012204145
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34
Does default point vary with firm size?
Zhang, Yaojie
;
Shi, Benshan
- In:
Applied economics letters
25
(
2018
)
15
,
pp. 1078-1082
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132343
Saved in:
35
Monetary policy surprises and firm-level stock return predictability : evidence from a new panel-based approach
Floro, Danvee
- In:
Applied economics letters
25
(
2018
)
17
,
pp. 1255-1260
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135374
Saved in:
36
Backtesting expected shortfall : evidence from European securitized real estate
Almudhaf, Fahad
- In:
Applied economics letters
25
(
2018
)
3
,
pp. 176-182
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853830
Saved in:
37
Combined density nowcasting in an uncertain economic environment
Aastveit, Knut Are
;
Ravazzolo, Francesco
;
Dijk, Herman …
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
36
(
2018
)
1
,
pp. 131-145
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894481
Saved in:
38
Measuring nonlinear Granger causality in mean
Song, Xiaojun
;
Taamouti, Abderrahim
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
36
(
2018
)
2
,
pp. 321-333
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895015
Saved in:
39
The variance risk premium : components, term structures, and stock return predictability
Li, Junye
;
Zinna, Gabriele
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
36
(
2018
)
3
,
pp. 411-425
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249166
Saved in:
40
Re-assessing international stock return predictability : evidence from directional accuracy and excess profitability tests
Siliverstovs, Boriss
- In:
Applied economics letters
24
(
2017
)
1/3
,
pp. 1-3
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011703719
Saved in:
41
The stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters : an application to inflation modeling
Chan, Joshua
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
35
(
2017
)
1
,
pp. 17-28
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704092
Saved in:
42
Forecasting macroeconomic variables under model instability
Pettenuzzo, Davide
;
Timmermann, Allan
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
35
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 183-201
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704162
Saved in:
43
Inferring the predictability induced by a persistent regressor in a predictive threshold model
Gonzalo, Jesús
;
Pitarakis, Jean-Yves
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
35
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 202-217
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704166
Saved in:
44
Assessing macro uncertainty in real-time when data are subject to revision
Clements, Michael P.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
35
(
2017
)
3
,
pp. 420-433
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705951
Saved in:
45
Implied correlation indices and volatility forecasting
Fink, Holger Maria
;
Geppert, Sabrina
- In:
Applied economics letters
24
(
2017
)
7/9
,
pp. 584-588
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011713025
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46
Identifying periods of market inefficiency for return predictability
Mitra, Subrata Kumar
;
Chattopadhyay, Manojit
;
Charan, …
- In:
Applied economics letters
24
(
2017
)
10/12
,
pp. 668-671
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714120
Saved in:
47
International stock return predictability : on the role of the United States in bad and good times
Siliverstovs, Boriss
- In:
Applied economics letters
24
(
2017
)
10/12
,
pp. 771-773
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714201
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48
Predictor imperfection : international evidence
Zhang, Lijie
;
Li, Yong
;
Wu, Wenbo
- In:
Applied economics letters
24
(
2017
)
13/15
,
pp. 995-1000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716518
Saved in:
49
Forecasting household debt with latent transition modelling
Białowolski, Piotr
- In:
Applied economics letters
24
(
2017
)
13/15
,
pp. 1088-1092
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716635
Saved in:
50
On the predictability of daytime and night-time yen/dollar exchange rates
Fukuda, Shin'ichi
- In:
Applied economics letters
23
(
2016
)
7/9
,
pp. 618-622
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011628029
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