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subject:"Forecasting model"
isPartOf:"The journal of economics"
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~isPartOf:"Journal of applied econometrics"
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Forecasting model
Estimation
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The journal of economics
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78
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1
The Federal Reserve's output gap : the unreliability of real-time reliability tests
Quast, Josefine
;
Wolters, Maik H.
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
38
(
2023
)
7
,
pp. 1101-1111
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014474421
Saved in:
2
Exchange rates and macroeconomic fundamentals : evidence of instabilities from time-varying factor loadings
Hillebrand, Eric
;
Mikkelsen, Jakob Guldbæk
;
Spreng, Lars
; …
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
38
(
2023
)
6
,
pp. 857-877
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432197
Saved in:
3
Identifying the effects of sanctions on the Iranian economy using newspaper coverage
Laudati, Dario
;
Pesaran, M. Hashem
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
38
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 271-294
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287986
Saved in:
4
Robust inference under time-varying volatility : a real-time evaluation of professional forecasters
Demetrescu, Matei
;
Hanck, Christoph
;
Kruse-Becher, Robinson
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
37
(
2022
)
5
,
pp. 1010-1030
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464645
Saved in:
5
Long-run predictability tests are even worse than you thought
Hjalmarsson, Erik
;
Kiss, Tamás
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
37
(
2022
)
7
,
pp. 1334-1355
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013473977
Saved in:
6
Reassessing growth vulnerability
Cho, Dooyeon
;
Rho, Seunghwa
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
39
(
2024
)
1
,
pp. 225-234
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471730
Saved in:
7
Forecasting and stress testing with quantile vector autoregression
Chavleishvili, Sulkhan
;
Manganelli, Simone
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
39
(
2024
)
1
,
pp. 66-85
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014474437
Saved in:
8
Panel data nowcasting : the case of price-earnings ratios
Babii, Andrii
;
Ball, Ryan T.
;
Ghysels, Eric
;
Striaukas, …
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
39
(
2024
)
2
,
pp. 292-307
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014517329
Saved in:
9
Penetrating sporadic return predictability
Tu, Yundong
;
Xie, Xinling
- In:
Journal of econometrics
237
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 1-27
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471472
Saved in:
10
Volatility measurement with pockets of extreme return persistence
Andersen, Torben
;
Li, Yingying
;
Todorov, Viktor
;
Zhou, Bo
- In:
Journal of econometrics
237
(
2023
)
2,3
,
pp. 1-27
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471793
Saved in:
11
A penalized two-pass regression to predict stock returns with time-varying risk premia
Bakalli, Gaetan
;
Guerrier, Stéphane
;
Scaillet, Olivier
- In:
Journal of econometrics
237
(
2023
)
2,3
,
pp. 1-27
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471822
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12
Are bond returns predictable with real-time macro data?
Huang, Dashan
;
Jiang, Fuwei
;
Li, Kunpeng
;
Tong, Guoshi
; …
- In:
Journal of econometrics
237
(
2023
)
2,3
,
pp. 1-20
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471827
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13
Business-cycle consumption risk and asset prices
Bandi, Federico M.
;
Tamoni, Andrea
- In:
Journal of econometrics
237
(
2023
)
2,3
,
pp. 1-23
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471828
Saved in:
14
Inference and forecasting for continuous-time integer-valued trawl processes
Bennedsen, Mikkel
;
Lunde, Asger
;
Shephard, Neil G.
; …
- In:
Journal of econometrics
236
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1-21
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014365470
Saved in:
15
Out-of-sample tests for conditional quantile coverage an application to Growth-at-Risk
Corradi, Valentina
;
Fosten, Jack
;
Gutknecht, Daniel
- In:
Journal of econometrics
236
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1-26
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014365517
Saved in:
16
Probabilistic prediction for binary treatment choice : with focus on personalized medicine
Manski, Charles F.
- In:
Journal of econometrics
234
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 647-663
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014434356
Saved in:
17
On the real-time predictive content of financial condition indices for growth
Amburgey, Aaron J.
;
McCracken, Michael W.
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
38
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 137-163
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287960
Saved in:
18
Information gains from using short-dated options for measuring and forecasting volatility
Todorov, Viktor
;
Zhang, Yang
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
37
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 368-391
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013165240
Saved in:
19
How should parameter estimation be tailored to the objective?
Hansen, Peter Reinhard
;
Dumitrescu, Elena-Ivona
- In:
Journal of econometrics
230
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 535-558
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464115
Saved in:
20
Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency
Carriero, Andrea
;
Clark, Todd E.
;
Marcellino, Massimiliano
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
37
(
2022
)
5
,
pp. 843-866
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464633
Saved in:
21
Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi-country context
Bai, Yu
;
Carriero, Andrea
;
Clark, Todd E.
;
Marcellino, …
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
37
(
2022
)
6
,
pp. 1230-1255
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464673
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22
From zero to hero : realized partial (co)variances
Bollerslev, Tim
;
Medeiros, Marcelo C.
;
Patton, Andrew J.
; …
- In:
Journal of econometrics
231
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 348-360
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464800
Saved in:
23
Testing for episodic predictability in stock returns
Demetrescu, Matei
;
Georgiev, Iliyan
;
Rodrigues, Paulo M. M.
- In:
Journal of econometrics
227
(
2022
)
1
,
pp. 85-113
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013441625
Saved in:
24
Semiparametric model averaging prediction for dichotomous response
Fang, Fang
;
Li, Jialiang
;
Xia, Xiaochao
- In:
Journal of econometrics
229
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 219-245
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013441865
Saved in:
25
Real-time Bayesian learning and bond return predictability
Wan, Runqing
;
Fulop, Andras
;
Li, Junye
- In:
Journal of econometrics
230
(
2022
)
1
,
pp. 114-130
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013441922
Saved in:
26
When will the Covid-19 pandemic peak?
Li, Shaoran
;
Linton, Oliver
- In:
Journal of econometrics
220
(
2021
)
1
,
pp. 130-157
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012618476
Saved in:
27
Predicting the VIX and the volatility risk premium : the role of short-run funding spreads Volatility Factors
Andreou, Elena
;
Ghysels, Eric
- In:
Journal of econometrics
220
(
2021
)
2
,
pp. 366-398
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012618520
Saved in:
28
Hierarchical Markov-switching models for multivariate integer-valued time-series
Catania, Leopoldo
;
Di Mari, Roberto
- In:
Journal of econometrics
221
(
2021
)
1
,
pp. 118-137
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012618804
Saved in:
29
How well do structural demand models work? : counterfactual predictions in school choice
Pathak, Parag A.
;
Shi, Peng
- In:
Journal of econometrics
222
(
2021
)
1,1
,
pp. 161-195
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619395
Saved in:
30
Augmented factor models with applications to validating market risk factors and forecasting bond risk premia
Fan, Jianqing
;
Ke, Yuan
;
Liao, Yuan
- In:
Journal of econometrics
222
(
2021
)
1,2
,
pp. 269-294
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619418
Saved in:
31
Tail risk and return predictability for the Japanese equity market
Andersen, Torben
;
Todorov, Viktor
;
Ubukata, Masato
- In:
Journal of econometrics
222
(
2021
)
1,2
,
pp. 344-363
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619430
Saved in:
32
Volatility analysis with realized GARCH-Itô models
Song, Xinyu
;
Kim, Donggyu
;
Yuan, Huiling
;
Cui, Xiangyu
; …
- In:
Journal of econometrics
222
(
2021
)
1,2
,
pp. 393-410
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619433
Saved in:
33
Time-varying model averaging
Sun, Yuying
;
Hong, Yongmiao
;
Lee, Tae-hwy
;
Wang, Shouyang
; …
- In:
Journal of econometrics
222
(
2021
)
2
,
pp. 974-992
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619810
Saved in:
34
Solving Euler equations via two-stage nonparametric penalized splines
Cui, Liyuan
;
Hong, Yongmiao
;
Li, Yingxing
- In:
Journal of econometrics
222
(
2021
)
2
,
pp. 1024-1056
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619815
Saved in:
35
Dynamics of variance risk premia : a new model for disentangling the price of risk
Rombouts, Jeroen V. K.
;
Stentoft, Lars
;
Violante, Francesco
- In:
Journal of econometrics
217
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 312-334
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482765
Saved in:
36
Incorporating overnight and intraday returns into multivariate GARCH volatility models
Dhaene, Geert
;
Wu, Jianbin
- In:
Journal of econometrics
217
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 471-495
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482817
Saved in:
37
Small-sample tests for stock return predictability with possibly non-stationary regressors and GARCH-type effects
Gungor, Sermin
;
Luger, Richard
- In:
Journal of econometrics
218
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 750-770
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483180
Saved in:
38
Does modeling a structural break improve forecast accuracy?
Boot, Tom
;
Pick, Andreas
- In:
Journal of econometrics
215
(
2020
)
1
,
pp. 35-59
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012439152
Saved in:
39
Variance risk : a bird's eye view
Hollstein, Fabian
;
Wese Simen, Chardin
- In:
Journal of econometrics
215
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 517-535
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012439498
Saved in:
40
High-frequency factor models and regressions
Aït-Sahalia, Yacine
;
Kalnina, Ilze
;
Xiu, Dacheng
- In:
Journal of econometrics
216
(
2020
)
1
,
pp. 86-105
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012439640
Saved in:
41
Climate risks and market efficiency
Hong, Harrison G.
;
Li, Frank Weikai
;
Xu, Jiangmin
- In:
Journal of econometrics
208
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 265-281
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012144990
Saved in:
42
Factor GARCH-Itô models for high-frequency data with application to large volatility matrix prediction
Kim, Donggyu
;
Fan, Jianqing
- In:
Journal of econometrics
208
(
2019
)
2
,
pp. 395-417
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012145042
Saved in:
43
Structured volatility matrix estimation for non-synchronized high-frequency financial data
Fan, Jianqing
;
Kim, Donggyu
- In:
Journal of econometrics
209
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 61-78
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302521
Saved in:
44
Achieving shrinkage in a time-varying parameter model framework
Bitto, Angela
;
Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia
- In:
Journal of econometrics
210
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 75-97
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012303379
Saved in:
45
On the predictive risk in misspecified quantile regression
Giessing, Alexander
;
He, Xuming
- In:
Journal of econometrics
213
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 235-260
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304550
Saved in:
46
Estimation risk for the VaR of portfolios driven by semi-parametric multivariate models
Francq, Christian
;
Zakoïan, Jean-Michel
- In:
Journal of econometrics
205
(
2018
)
2
,
pp. 381-401
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110307
Saved in:
47
Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters
Inoue, Atsushi
;
Lu, Jin
;
Rossi, Barbara
- In:
Journal of econometrics
196
(
2017
)
1
,
pp. 55-67
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011743498
Saved in:
48
Inside the crystal ball : new approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump
Baumeister, Christiane
;
Killian, Lutz
;
Lee, Thomas
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
32
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 275-295
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689781
Saved in:
49
Spotting the danger zone : forecasting financial crises with classification tree ensembles and many predictors
Ward, Felix
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
32
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 359-378
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011690208
Saved in:
50
R-estimation in semiparametric dynamic location-scale models
Hallin, Marc
;
La Vecchia, Davide
- In:
Journal of econometrics
196
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 222-247
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011818285
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