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subject:"Forecasting model"
subject:"Finanzanalyse"
~isPartOf:"Applied financial economics"
~isPartOf:"Journal of applied econometrics"
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Applied financial economics
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ECONIS (ZBW)
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1
The Federal Reserve's output gap : the unreliability of real-time reliability tests
Quast, Josefine
;
Wolters, Maik H.
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
38
(
2023
)
7
,
pp. 1101-1111
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014474421
Saved in:
2
Exchange rates and macroeconomic fundamentals : evidence of instabilities from time-varying factor loadings
Hillebrand, Eric
;
Mikkelsen, Jakob Guldbæk
;
Spreng, Lars
; …
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
38
(
2023
)
6
,
pp. 857-877
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432197
Saved in:
3
Identifying the effects of sanctions on the Iranian economy using newspaper coverage
Laudati, Dario
;
Pesaran, M. Hashem
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
38
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 271-294
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287986
Saved in:
4
Robust inference under time-varying volatility : a real-time evaluation of professional forecasters
Demetrescu, Matei
;
Hanck, Christoph
;
Kruse-Becher, Robinson
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
37
(
2022
)
5
,
pp. 1010-1030
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464645
Saved in:
5
Long-run predictability tests are even worse than you thought
Hjalmarsson, Erik
;
Kiss, Tamás
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
37
(
2022
)
7
,
pp. 1334-1355
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013473977
Saved in:
6
Reassessing growth vulnerability
Cho, Dooyeon
;
Rho, Seunghwa
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
39
(
2024
)
1
,
pp. 225-234
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471730
Saved in:
7
Forecasting and stress testing with quantile vector autoregression
Chavleishvili, Sulkhan
;
Manganelli, Simone
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
39
(
2024
)
1
,
pp. 66-85
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014474437
Saved in:
8
Panel data nowcasting : the case of price-earnings ratios
Babii, Andrii
;
Ball, Ryan T.
;
Ghysels, Eric
;
Striaukas, …
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
39
(
2024
)
2
,
pp. 292-307
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014517329
Saved in:
9
On the real-time predictive content of financial condition indices for growth
Amburgey, Aaron J.
;
McCracken, Michael W.
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
38
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 137-163
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287960
Saved in:
10
Information gains from using short-dated options for measuring and forecasting volatility
Todorov, Viktor
;
Zhang, Yang
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
37
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 368-391
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013165240
Saved in:
11
Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency
Carriero, Andrea
;
Clark, Todd E.
;
Marcellino, Massimiliano
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
37
(
2022
)
5
,
pp. 843-866
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464633
Saved in:
12
Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi-country context
Bai, Yu
;
Carriero, Andrea
;
Clark, Todd E.
;
Marcellino, …
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
37
(
2022
)
6
,
pp. 1230-1255
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464673
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13
Forecasting volatility in developing countries' nominal exchange returns
Antonakakis, Nikolaos
;
Darby, Julia
- In:
Applied financial economics
23
(
2013
)
19/21
,
pp. 1675-1691
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260183
Saved in:
14
Inside the crystal ball : new approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump
Baumeister, Christiane
;
Killian, Lutz
;
Lee, Thomas
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
32
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 275-295
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689781
Saved in:
15
Spotting the danger zone : forecasting financial crises with classification tree ensembles and many predictors
Ward, Felix
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
32
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 359-378
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011690208
Saved in:
16
Out‐of-sample return predictability : a quantile combination approach
Lima, Luiz Renato
;
Meng, Fanning
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
32
(
2017
)
4
,
pp. 877-895
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862253
Saved in:
17
Anchoring the yield curve using survey expectations
Altavilla, Carlo
;
Giacomini, Raffaella
;
Ragusa, Giuseppe
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
32
(
2017
)
6
,
pp. 1055-1068
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862313
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18
Model selection with estimated factors and idiosyncratic components
Fosten, Jack
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
32
(
2017
)
6
,
pp. 1087-1106
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862567
Saved in:
19
Combining density forecasts using focused scoring rules
Opschoor, Anne
;
Dijk, Dick van
;
Wel, Michel van der
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
32
(
2017
)
7
,
pp. 1298-1313
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862725
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20
The measurement and behavior of uncertainty : evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
Abel, Joshua
;
Rich, Robert W.
;
Song, Joseph
;
Tracy, …
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
31
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 533-550
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011642628
Saved in:
21
Reassessing the relative power of the yield spread in forecasting recessions
Croushore, Dean Darrell
;
Marsten, Katherine
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
31
(
2016
)
6
,
pp. 1183-1191
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011687424
Saved in:
22
Macroeconomic forecasting performance under alternative specifications of time-varying volatility
Clark, Todd E.
;
Ravazzolo, Francesco
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
30
(
2015
)
4
,
pp. 551-575
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011332869
Saved in:
23
Local adaptive multiplicative error models for high-frequency forecasts
Härdle, Wolfgang
;
Hautsch, Nikolaus
;
Mihoci, Andrija
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
30
(
2015
)
4
,
pp. 529-550
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011332871
Saved in:
24
Volatility forecasting performance of two-scale realized volatility
Garg, S.
;
Vipul
- In:
Applied financial economics
24
(
2014
)
16/18
,
pp. 1111-1121
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418949
Saved in:
25
An analysis of persistence in analyst's relative forecast accuracy
Simon, Andreas
- In:
Applied financial economics
24
(
2014
)
1/3
,
pp. 107-120
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391465
Saved in:
26
Forecasting stock return volatility at the quarterly frequency : an evaluation of time series approaches
Reeves, Jonathan J.
;
Xie, Xuan
- In:
Applied financial economics
24
(
2014
)
4/6
,
pp. 347-356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399705
Saved in:
27
The US zero-coupon yield spread as a predictor of excess daily stock market volatility
Li, Matthew C.
- In:
Applied financial economics
24
(
2014
)
13/15
,
pp. 889-906
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410398
Saved in:
28
Smooth dynamic factor analysis with application to the US term structure of interest rates
Jungbacker, Borus
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Wel, Michel van der
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
29
(
2014
)
1
,
pp. 65-90
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414251
Saved in:
29
Constructing optimal density forecasts from point forecast combinations
Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza
;
Lima, Luiz Renato
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
29
(
2014
)
5
,
pp. 736-757
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414854
Saved in:
30
The predictability of aggregate consumption growth in OECD countries : a panel data analysis
Everaert, Gerdie
;
Pozzi, Lorenzo
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
29
(
2014
)
3
,
pp. 431-453
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414886
Saved in:
31
The equilibrium level and forecasting performance of nominal effective exchange rate indexes using an export and import price-based relative PPP model
Grossmann, Axel
;
Paul, Chris W.
;
Simpson, Marc W.
- In:
Applied financial economics
24
(
2014
)
13/15
,
pp. 1017-1030
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010415312
Saved in:
32
Forecasting Eurozone real-estate returns
Pierdzioch, Christian
;
Hartmann, Daniel
- In:
Applied financial economics
23
(
2013
)
13/15
,
pp. 1185-1196
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010204784
Saved in:
33
Beating the random walk : a performance assessment of long-term interest rate forecasts
Butter, Frank A. G. den
;
Jansen, Pieter W.
- In:
Applied financial economics
23
(
2013
)
7/9
,
pp. 749-765
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750989
Saved in:
34
Adaptive market hypothesis : evidence from the REIT market
Zhou, Jian
;
Lee, Jin Man
- In:
Applied financial economics
23
(
2013
)
19/21
,
pp. 1649-1662
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259752
Saved in:
35
Improving the CARR model using extreme range estimators
Miralles Marcelo, José Luis
;
Miralles-Quirós, José Luis
- In:
Applied financial economics
23
(
2013
)
19/21
,
pp. 1635-1647
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259753
Saved in:
36
Forecast of stock market based on nonharmonic analysis used on NASDAQ since 1985
Ichinose, Takafumi
;
Hirobayashi, Shigeki
;
Misawa, Tadanobu
- In:
Applied financial economics
22
(
2012
)
1/3
,
pp. 197-208
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009419558
Saved in:
37
Some variables are more worthy than others : new diffusion index evidence on the monitoring of key economic indicators
Armah, Nii Ayi
;
Swanson, Norman R.
- In:
Applied financial economics
21
(
2011
)
1/3
,
pp. 43-60
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124680
Saved in:
38
Intellectual capital and analyst forecast : evidence from the high-tech industry in Taiwan
Hsu, Wen-hsin
;
Chang, Yao-ling
- In:
Applied financial economics
21
(
2011
)
13/15
,
pp. 1135-1143
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009317430
Saved in:
39
Testing the CAPM across observed and fundamental returns
Berger, Dave
- In:
Applied financial economics
21
(
2011
)
7/9
,
pp. 625-636
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153240
Saved in:
40
Averaging forecasts from VARs with uncertain instabilities
Clark, Todd E.
;
McCracken, Michael W.
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
25
(
2010
)
1
,
pp. 5-29
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008666818
Saved in:
41
What drives stock prices? : fundamentals, bubbles and investor behaviour
Chen, Yen-hsiao
;
Fraser, Patricia
- In:
Applied financial economics
20
(
2010
)
16/18
,
pp. 1461-1477
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009010920
Saved in:
42
Explaining the US bond yield conundrum
Bandholz, Harm
;
Clostermann, Jörg
;
Seitz, Franz
- In:
Applied financial economics
19
(
2009
)
7/9
,
pp. 539-550
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003842640
Saved in:
43
Forecasting realized volatility : a Bayesian model-averaging approach
Liu, Chun
;
Maheu, John M.
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
24
(
2009
)
5
,
pp. 709-733
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931571
Saved in:
44
Market fundamentals versus rational bubbles in stock prices : a Bayesian perspective
Balke, Nathan S.
;
Wohar, Mark E.
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
24
(
2009
)
1
,
pp. 35-75
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807530
Saved in:
45
Long-horizon yield curve projections : comparison of semi-parametric and parametric approaches
Nyholm, Ken
;
Rebonato, Riccardo
- In:
Applied financial economics
18
(
2008
)
18/21
,
pp. 1597-1611
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003800185
Saved in:
46
An alternative test for weak form efficiency based on technical analysis
Loh, Elaine Y. L.
- In:
Applied financial economics
17
(
2007
)
10/12
,
pp. 1003-1012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003538098
Saved in:
47
A rolling MTAR model to test for efficient stock pricing and asymmetric adjustment
Behr, Andreas
- In:
Applied financial economics
17
(
2007
)
16/18
,
pp. 1479-1487
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003605859
Saved in:
48
Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals
Garratt, Anthony
;
Robertson, Donald
;
Wright, Stephen
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
21
(
2006
)
4
,
pp. 521-542
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003338662
Saved in:
49
Back to the future : an empirical investigation into the validity of stock index models over time
Summers, Barbara
;
Griffiths, Evan
;
Hudson, Robert
- In:
Applied financial economics
14
(
2004
)
3
,
pp. 209-214
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001915523
Saved in:
50
Can inflation data improve the real-time reliability of output gap estimates?
Planas, Christophe
;
Rossi, Alessandro
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
19
(
2004
)
1
,
pp. 121-133
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001924696
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