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subject:"Prognoseverfahren"
isPartOf:"Tinbergen Institute research series"
~isPartOf:"Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc."
~isPartOf:"Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association"
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Prognoseverfahren
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Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association
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1
SVARs identification through bounds on the forecast error variance
Volpicella, Alessio
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
40
(
2022
)
3
,
pp. 1291-1301
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013539513
Saved in:
2
Reconciled estimates of monthly GDP in the United States
Koop, Gary
;
McIntyre, Stuart
;
Mitchell, James
;
Poon, Aubrey
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 563-577
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448358
Saved in:
3
Using survey information for improving the density nowcasting of U.S. GDP
Çakmaklı, Cem
;
Demircan, Hamza
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 667-682
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448419
Saved in:
4
Structural breaks in grouped heterogeneity
Smith, Simon C.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 752-764
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448432
Saved in:
5
Large hybrid time-varying parameter VARs
Chan, Joshua
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 890-905
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448455
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6
Overnight GARCH-Itô volatility models
Kim, Donggyu
;
Shin, Minseok
;
Wang, Yazhen
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1215-1227
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448607
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7
Corporate probability of default : a single-index hazard model approach
Li, Shaobo
;
Tian, Shaonan
;
Yu, Yan
;
Zhu, Xiaorui
;
Lian, Heng
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1288-1299
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448636
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8
Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter
Quast, Josefine
;
Wolters, Maik H.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
40
(
2022
)
1
,
pp. 152-168
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804095
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9
Nonlinear predictability of stock returns? : parametric versus nonparametric inference in predictive regressions
Demetrescu, Matei
;
Hillmann, Benjamin
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
40
(
2022
)
1
,
pp. 382-397
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804123
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10
q5
Hou, Kewei
;
Mo, Haitao
;
Xue, Chen
;
Zhang, Lu
-
2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888412
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11
Over-reaction in macroeconomic expectations
Bordalo, Pedro
;
Gennaioli, Nicola
;
Ma, Yueran
; …
-
2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011914241
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12
Price dividend ratio and long-run stock returns : a score-driven state space model
Delle Monache, Davide
;
Petrella, Ivan
;
Venditti, Fabrizio
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
39
(
2021
)
4
,
pp. 1054-1065
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653225
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13
Inducing sparsity and shrinkage in time-varying parameter models
Huber, Florian
;
Koop, Gary
;
Onorante, Luca
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
39
(
2021
)
3
,
pp. 669-683
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012588006
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14
Monetary policy and the predictability of nominal exchange rates
Eichenbaum, Martin S.
;
Johannsen, Benjamin K.
;
Rebelo, …
-
2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011618959
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15
Exchange rate prediction redux : new models, new data, new currencies
Cheung, Yin-Wong
;
Chinn, Menzie David
;
Garcia Pascual, …
-
2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011641004
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16
Robust bond risk premia
Bauer, Michael D.
;
Hamilton, James D.
-
2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011684596
Saved in:
17
Nowcasting the local economy : using Yelp data to measure economic activity
Glaeser, Edward L.
;
Kim, Hyunjin
;
Luca, Michael
-
2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772895
Saved in:
18
How well do structural demand models work? : counterfactual predictions in school choice
Pathak, Parag A.
;
Shi, Peng
-
2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772941
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19
Innovative originality, profitability, and stock returns
Hirshleifer, David
;
Hsu, Po-Hsuan
;
Li, Dongmei
-
2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669408
Saved in:
20
Testing nowcast monotonicity with estimated factors
Fosten, Jack
;
Gutknecht, Daniel
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
1
,
pp. 107-123
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179524
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21
Markov-switching three-pass regression filter
Guérin, Pierre
;
Leiva-Leon, Danilo
;
Marcellino, …
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 285-302
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262467
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22
Real-time macroeconomic forecasting with a heteroscedastic inversion copula
Loiza-Maya, Ruben
;
Smith, Michael S.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 470-486
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262488
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23
Implications of return predictability for consumption dynamics and asset pricing
Favero, Carlo A.
;
Ortu, Fulvio
;
Tamoni, Andrea
;
Yang, Haoxi
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 527-541
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262492
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24
Monetary policy and asset valuation : evidence from a Markov-switching cay
Bianchi, Francesco
;
Lettau, Martin
;
Ludvigson, Sydney C.
-
2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011540476
Saved in:
25
Thrivers and divers : using non-academic measures to predict college success and failure
Beattie, Graham
;
Laliberté, Jean-William P.
; …
-
2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011548460
Saved in:
26
Monetary policy and the stock market : time-series evidence
Neuhierl, Andreas
;
Weber, Michael
-
2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585385
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27
Using a free permit rule to forecast the marginal abatement cost of proposed climate policy
Meng, Kyle C.
-
2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011493333
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28
Adaptive shrinkage in Bayesian vector autoregressive models
Huber, Florian
;
Feldkircher, Martin
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
37
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 27-39
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175868
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29
Forecasting value at risk and expected shortfall using a semiparametric approach based on the asymmetric laplace distribution
Taylor, James W.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
37
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 121-133
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012176554
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30
Econometric analysis of high-frequency market microstructure
Li, Zhen
-
2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011951912
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31
Combined density nowcasting in an uncertain economic environment
Aastveit, Knut Are
;
Ravazzolo, Francesco
;
Dijk, Herman …
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
36
(
2018
)
1
,
pp. 131-145
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894481
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32
Measuring nonlinear Granger causality in mean
Song, Xiaojun
;
Taamouti, Abderrahim
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
36
(
2018
)
2
,
pp. 321-333
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895015
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33
The variance risk premium : components, term structures, and stock return predictability
Li, Junye
;
Zinna, Gabriele
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
36
(
2018
)
3
,
pp. 411-425
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249166
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34
The stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters : an application to inflation modeling
Chan, Joshua
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
35
(
2017
)
1
,
pp. 17-28
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704092
Saved in:
35
Forecasting macroeconomic variables under model instability
Pettenuzzo, Davide
;
Timmermann, Allan
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
35
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 183-201
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704162
Saved in:
36
Inferring the predictability induced by a persistent regressor in a predictive threshold model
Gonzalo, Jesús
;
Pitarakis, Jean-Yves
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
35
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 202-217
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704166
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37
Assessing macro uncertainty in real-time when data are subject to revision
Clements, Michael P.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
35
(
2017
)
3
,
pp. 420-433
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705951
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38
Forecasting with nonspurious factors in U.S. macroeconomic time series
Yamamoto, Yohei
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
34
(
2016
)
1
,
pp. 81-106
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691219
Saved in:
39
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility
Marcellino, Massimiliano
;
Porqueddu, Mario
;
Venditti, …
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
34
(
2016
)
1
,
pp. 118-127
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691233
Saved in:
40
In-sample inference and forecasting in misspecified factor models
Carrasco, Marine
;
Rossi, Barbara
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
34
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 313-338
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691438
Saved in:
41
Rejoinder: In-sample inference and forecasting in misspecified factor models
Carrasco, Marine
;
Rossi, Barbara
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
34
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 353-356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691450
Saved in:
42
Unspanned macroeconomic factors in the yield curve
Coroneo, Laura
;
Giannone, Domenico
;
Modugno, Michele
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
34
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 472-485
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691663
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43
Forecasting equity premium : global historical average versus local historical average and constraints
Lee, Tae-hwy
;
Tu, Yundong
;
Ullah, Aman
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
33
(
2015
)
3
,
pp. 393-402
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390401
Saved in:
44
Demand estimation with machine learning and model combination
Bajari, Patrick L.
;
Nekipelov, Denis N.
;
Ryan, Stephen
; …
-
2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496176
Saved in:
45
Nowcasting and placecasting entrepreneurial quality and performance
Guzman, Jorge
;
Stern, Scott
-
2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496179
Saved in:
46
DSGE model-based forecasting of non-modelled variables
Schorfheide, Frank
;
Sill, D. Keith
;
Kryshko, Maxym
-
2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003827739
Saved in:
47
Growth expectations, dividend yields, and future stock returns
Da, Zhi
;
Jagannathan, Ravi
;
Shen, Jianfeng
-
2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010441426
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48
Four centuries of return predictability
Golez, Benjamin
;
Koudijs, Peter
-
2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010481196
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49
Identifying long-run risks : a Bayesian mixed-frequency approach
Schorfheide, Frank
;
Song, Dongho
;
Yaron, Amir
-
2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392642
Saved in:
50
Conditional correlation models of autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with nonstationary GARCH equations
Amado, Cristina
;
Teräsvirta, Timo
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
32
(
2014
)
1
,
pp. 69-87
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010380478
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