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Prognoseverfahren
Estimation
123,380
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123,209
Theorie
27,904
Theory
27,895
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15,936
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15,908
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14,793
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14,731
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6,363
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6,357
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6,111
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6,102
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5,844
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5,816
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5,777
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5,488
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5,475
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5,448
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5,418
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5,385
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5,378
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5,294
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5,240
Großbritannien
4,914
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4,909
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4,882
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Gupta, Rangan
84
Marcellino, Massimiliano
51
Pierdzioch, Christian
46
McMillan, David G.
40
McAleer, Michael
38
Ma, Feng
31
Pesaran, M. Hashem
29
Clark, Todd E.
28
Diebold, Francis X.
28
Timmermann, Allan
28
Swanson, Norman R.
27
Zaremba, Adam
26
Schorfheide, Frank
25
Kilian, Lutz
24
Siliverstovs, Boriss
24
Franses, Philip Hans
23
Wang, Yudong
23
Bollerslev, Tim
22
Döpke, Jörg
22
Ghysels, Eric
22
Herwartz, Helmut
22
Huber, Florian
22
Baumeister, Christiane
21
Härdle, Wolfgang
21
Ravazzolo, Francesco
21
Guidolin, Massimo
20
Narayan, Paresh Kumar
20
Zhang, Yaojie
19
Rossi, Barbara
18
Schumacher, Christian
18
Zhou, Guofu
18
Balcilar, Mehmet
17
Cheung, Yin-Wong
17
Fritsche, Ulrich
17
Koop, Gary
17
Koopman, Siem Jan
17
Wolters, Maik H.
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16
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16
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4
Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz Universität Hannover
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4
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Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
3
Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden
3
Verlag Dr. Kovač
3
Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel / Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre
2
Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research <Mailand>
2
Narodna Banka na Republika Makedonija
2
National Institute of Economic and Social Research
2
OECD
2
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Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn
2
School of Economics, Mathematics and Statistics <London>
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Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası
2
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1
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Eric Cuvillier <Firma>
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International journal of forecasting
151
Journal of forecasting
105
Finance research letters
85
Applied economics
78
Journal of banking & finance
77
Journal of empirical finance
65
Economic modelling
63
International review of financial analysis
63
Journal of econometrics
63
Journal of financial economics
58
Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research
56
Applied economics letters
55
Energy economics
53
International review of economics & finance : IREF
53
Working paper
52
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association
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Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
49
The North American journal of economics and finance : a journal of financial economics studies
48
NBER Working Paper
45
NBER working paper series
44
Economics letters
42
Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria
38
CESifo working papers
36
Journal of international money and finance
34
Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute
33
Pacific-Basin finance journal
32
Finance and economics discussion series
31
Journal of applied econometrics
30
Journal of international financial markets, institutions & money
30
The European journal of finance
30
Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences
25
Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank
24
Applied financial economics
23
Discussion papers / CEPR
23
Journal of financial econometrics : official journal of the Society for Financial Econometrics
23
The journal of futures markets
23
International journal of finance & economics : IJFE
22
Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM
22
The quarterly review of economics and finance : journal of the Midwest Economics Association ; journal of the Midwest Finance Association
22
Journal of financial markets
20
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ECONIS (ZBW)
5,780
EconStor
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601
Have the predictability of oil changed during the COVID-19 pandemic : evidence from international stock markets
Ding, Hui
;
Huang, Yisu
;
Wang, Jiqian
- In:
International review of financial analysis
87
(
2023
),
pp. 1-15
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014460444
Saved in:
602
A comprehensive investigation on the predictive power of economic policy uncertainty from non-U.S. countries for U.S. stock market returns
Huang, Yisu
;
Ma, Feng
;
Bouri, Elie
;
Huang, Dengshi
- In:
International review of financial analysis
87
(
2023
),
pp. 1-13
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014460616
Saved in:
603
Predictability and forecasting performance of major euro exchange rates using a relative PPP-based equilibrium model
Grossmann, Axel
;
Simpson, Marc W.
- In:
Research in international business and finance
66
(
2023
),
pp. 1-35
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462207
Saved in:
604
A time-varying Phillips curve with global factors : are global factors important?
Kabundi, Alain
;
Poon, Aubrey
;
Wu, Ping
- In:
Economic modelling
126
(
2023
),
pp. 1-8
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462575
Saved in:
605
Dynamics of subjective risk premia
Nagel, Stefan
;
Xu, Zhengyang
- In:
Journal of financial economics
150
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462598
Saved in:
606
Return predictability with endogenous growth
Bandi, Federico M.
;
Bretscher, Lorenzo
;
Tamoni, Andrea
- In:
Journal of financial economics
150
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 1-20
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462652
Saved in:
607
Real estate illiquidity and returns : a time-varying regional perspective
Ellington, Michael
;
Fu, Xi
;
Zhu, Yunyi
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 58-72
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462768
Saved in:
608
Daily news sentiment and monthly surveys : a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting consumer confidence
Algaba, Andres
;
Borms, Samuel
;
Boudt, Kris
;
Verbeken, Brecht
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 266-278
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462779
Saved in:
609
FRED-SD : a real-time database for state-level data with forecasting applications
Bokun, Kathryn O.
;
Jackson, Laura
;
Kliesen, Kevin L.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 279-297
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462780
Saved in:
610
Nowcasting German GDP : foreign factors, financial markets, and model averaging
Andreini, Paolo
;
Hasenzagl, Thomas
;
Reichlin, Lucrezia
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 298-313
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462781
Saved in:
611
Forecasting expected shortfall : should we use a multivariate model for stock market factors?
Fortin, Alain-Philippe
;
Simonato, Jean-Guy
;
Dionne, Georges
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 314-331
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462782
Saved in:
612
Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?
Bańbura, Marta
;
Bobeica, Elena
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 364-390
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462787
Saved in:
613
Estimation of a dynamic multi-level factor model with possible long-range dependence
Ergemen, Yunus Emre
;
Rodríguez-Caballero, Carlos Vladimir
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 405-430
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462789
Saved in:
614
Multi-population mortality projection : the augmented common factor model with structural breaks
Wang, Pengjie
;
Pantelous, Athanasios A.
;
Vahid, Farshid
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 450-469
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462791
Saved in:
615
Can convertible bond trading predict stock returns? : evidence from China
Chen, Zhiyu
;
Xu, Yun
;
Wang, Yu
- In:
Pacific-Basin finance journal
79
(
2023
),
pp. 1-20
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014463165
Saved in:
616
Tail comovements of implied volatility indices and global index futures returns predictability
Lee, Hsiu-chuan
;
Lee, Yun-Huan
;
Nguyen, Cuong
- In:
Pacific-Basin finance journal
80
(
2023
),
pp. 1-21
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014463335
Saved in:
617
International stock return predictability : the role of U.S. uncertainty spillover
Jiang, Fuwei
;
Liu, Hongkui
;
Yu, Jiasheng
;
Zhang, Huajing
- In:
Pacific-Basin finance journal
82
(
2023
),
pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014463395
Saved in:
618
The role of uncertainty in forecasting volatility comovements across stock markets
Bucci, Andrea
;
Palomba, Giulio
;
Rossi, Eduardo
- In:
Economic modelling
125
(
2023
),
pp. 1-19
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014463541
Saved in:
619
Forecasting intraday market risk : a marked self-exciting point process with exogenous renewals
Stindl, Tom
- In:
Journal of empirical finance
70
(
2023
),
pp. 182-198
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014423627
Saved in:
620
Out-of-sample equity premium prediction : the role of option-implied constraints
Wang, Yunqi
;
Zhou, Ti
- In:
Journal of empirical finance
70
(
2023
),
pp. 199-226
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014423642
Saved in:
621
Do the Hamilton and Beveridge-Nelson filters provide the same information about output gaps? : an empirical comparison for practitioners
Biolsi, Christopher
- In:
Journal of macroeconomics
75
(
2023
),
pp. 1-31
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014423934
Saved in:
622
Nonlinearity in the cross-section of stock returns : evidence from China
Wang, Jianqiu
;
Wu, Ke
;
Tong, Guoshi
;
Chen, Dongxu
- In:
International review of economics & finance : IREF
85
(
2023
),
pp. 174-205
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014424128
Saved in:
623
Revisiting the auto-regressive integrated moving average approach to modelling volatility using Bahrain all share index daily returns
Doblas, Mark P.
;
Natarajan, Vinodh Kesavaraj
;
Sankar, …
- In:
Middle East journal of management : MEJM
10
(
2023
)
6
,
pp. 619-636
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014424552
Saved in:
624
Recessions and flattening of the yield curve (1960-2021) : A two-way road under a regime switching approach
Cendejas Bueno, José Luis
- In:
The quarterly review of economics and finance : journal …
88
(
2023
),
pp. 8-20
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014427895
Saved in:
625
Firm-level business uncertainty and the predictability of the aggregate US stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic
Demirer, Rıza
;
Gupta, Rangan
;
Salisu, Afees A.
;
Van …
- In:
The quarterly review of economics and finance : journal …
88
(
2023
),
pp. 295-302
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014428071
Saved in:
626
Forecasting dividend growth : the role of adjusted earnings yield
Yu, Deshui
;
Huang, Difang
;
Li, Chen
;
Li, Luyang
- In:
Economic modelling
120
(
2023
),
pp. 1-16
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384127
Saved in:
627
Hedging pressure momentum and the predictability of oil futures returns
Yu, Dan
;
Chen, Chuang
;
Wang, Yudong
;
Zhang, Yaojie
- In:
Economic modelling
121
(
2023
),
pp. 1-11
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384325
Saved in:
628
Investigating growth-at-risk using a multicountry non-parametric quantile factor model
Clark, Todd E.
;
Huber, Florian
;
Koop, Gary
;
Marcellino, …
-
2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384414
Saved in:
629
Are 60/40 portfolio returns predictable?
Baz, Jamil
;
Sapra, Steve
;
Ramirez, German
- In:
Journal of investment management : JOIM
21
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 61-76
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390452
Saved in:
630
Modeling and forecasting volatilities of financial assets with an asymmetric zero-drift GARCH model
Shi, Yanlin
- In:
Journal of financial econometrics
21
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1308-1345
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014391461
Saved in:
631
Time-varying higher moments, economic policy uncertainty and renminbi exchange rate volatility
Wu, Xinyu
;
Mei, Xueting
;
Yin, Xuebao
- In:
Journal of risk
25
(
2023
)
5
,
pp. 71-99
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014370725
Saved in:
632
A study of Bitcoin-based intraday volatility forecasting for cross-market spreads
Yang, Longguang
;
Hou, Fengshuang
;
Shi, Huihong
- In:
Emerging markets, finance and trade : EMFT
59
(
2023
)
14
,
pp. 3941-3951
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014419375
Saved in:
633
Systematic default and return predictability in the stock and bond markets
Bao, Jack
;
Hou, Kewei
;
Zhang, Shaojun
- In:
Journal of financial economics
149
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 349-377
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014419606
Saved in:
634
A credit-based theory of the currency risk premium
Della Corte, Pasquale
;
Jeanneret, Alexandre
;
Patelli, …
- In:
Journal of financial economics
149
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 473-496
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014420543
Saved in:
635
Intraday and overnight tail risks and return predictability in the crude oil market : Evidence from oil-related regular news and extreme shocks
Wang, Cheng
;
Bouri, Elie
;
Xu, Yahua
;
Zhang, Dingsheng
- In:
Energy economics
127
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1-12
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014489965
Saved in:
636
Dynamic connectedness between investors’ sentiment and asset prices : a comparison between major markets in Europe and USA
Sakariyahu, Rilwan
;
Johan, Sofia Atiqah
;
Lawal, Rodiat
; …
- In:
Journal of international financial markets, …
89
(
2023
),
pp. 1-17
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490069
Saved in:
637
The incremental information in the yield curve about future interest rate risk
Christensen, Bent Jesper
;
Kjær, Mads Markvart
; …
- In:
Journal of banking & finance
155
(
2023
),
pp. 1-22
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490508
Saved in:
638
Bayesian mixed-frequency quantile vector autoregression : eliciting tail risks of monthly US GDP
Iacopini, Matteo
;
Poon, Aubrey
;
Rossini, Luca
;
Zhu, Dan
- In:
Journal of economic dynamics & control
157
(
2023
),
pp. 1-16
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014495378
Saved in:
639
Beyond rocket science : a factor model for convertible bond returns
Li, Zhiyong
;
Wang, Haixu
;
Yu, Mei
- In:
Economics letters
233
(
2023
),
pp. 1-8
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505094
Saved in:
640
Forecasting wages inequality in response of trade openness in Pakistan : an artificial neural network approach
Ullah, Irfan
;
Xuefeng, Qian
;
Shah, Muhammad Haroon
; …
- In:
The Singapore economic review
68
(
2023
)
6
,
pp. 1875-1890
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500332
Saved in:
641
Econometric forecasting of tourist arrivals using Bayesian structural time-series
Andrews, Antony
;
Kimpton, Sean
- In:
Economic papers
42
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 200-211
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014365142
Saved in:
642
Inference and forecasting for continuous-time integer-valued trawl processes
Bennedsen, Mikkel
;
Lunde, Asger
;
Shephard, Neil G.
; …
- In:
Journal of econometrics
236
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1-21
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014365470
Saved in:
643
Out-of-sample tests for conditional quantile coverage an application to Growth-at-Risk
Corradi, Valentina
;
Fosten, Jack
;
Gutknecht, Daniel
- In:
Journal of econometrics
236
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1-26
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014365517
Saved in:
644
Does public corruption affect analyst forecast quality?
El Ghoul, Sadok
;
Guedhami, Omrane
;
Wei, Zuobao
;
Zhu, Yicheng
- In:
Journal of banking & finance
154
(
2023
),
pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486661
Saved in:
645
Why does option-implied volatility forecast realized volatility? : evidence from news events
Chen, Sipeng
;
Li, Gang
- In:
Journal of banking & finance
156
(
2023
),
pp. 1-14
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487208
Saved in:
646
Using a skewed exponential power mixture for value-at-risk and conditional value-at-risk forecasts to comply with market risk regulation
Hassani, Samir Saissi
;
Dionne, Georges
- In:
Journal of risk : JOR
25
(
2023
)
6
,
pp. 73-103
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487244
Saved in:
647
Conditional and unconditional intraday value-at-risk models : an application to high-frequency tick-by-tick exchange-traded fund data
Nunkoo, Houmera Bibi Sabera
;
Sookia, Noor Ul Hacq
; …
- In:
Journal of risk : JOR
26
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1-31
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487297
Saved in:
648
Measuring macroeconomic uncertainty : a cross-country analysis
Dibiasi, Andreas
;
Sarferaz, Samad
- In:
European economic review : EER
153
(
2023
),
pp. 1-30
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014430822
Saved in:
649
Forecasting stock return volatility : realized volatility-type or duration-based estimators
Fei, Tianlun
;
Liu, Xiaoquan
;
Wen, Conghua
- In:
Journal of forecasting
42
(
2023
)
7
,
pp. 1594-1621
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432725
Saved in:
650
The ENSO cycle and forecastability of global inflation and output growth : evidence from standard and mixed-frequency multivariate singular spectrum analyses
Yeganegi, Mohammad Reza
;
Hassani, Hossein
;
Gupta, Rangan
- In:
Journal of forecasting
42
(
2023
)
7
,
pp. 1690-1707
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432753
Saved in:
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