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type_genre:"Article in journal"
type_genre:"Survey"
~isPartOf:"Economic modelling"
~subject:"Prognoseverfahren"
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Prognoseverfahren
Theorie
1,635
Theory
1,635
Estimation
191
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191
Geldpolitik
145
Monetary policy
145
Time series analysis
112
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112
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107
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107
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106
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106
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Ma, Feng
3
Zhang, Yaojie
3
Claveria, Oscar
2
Kiani, Khurshid M.
2
Ma, Guiyuan
2
Nymoen, Ragnar
2
Rumler, Fabio
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Burns, Kelly
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Economic modelling
International journal of forecasting
677
Journal of forecasting
429
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association
132
Journal of econometrics
126
European journal of operational research : EJOR
109
Computational economics
85
Economics letters
79
Applied economics
75
Technological forecasting & social change : an international journal
75
Energy economics
73
Journal of empirical finance
73
Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences
65
Journal of applied econometrics
64
Risks : open access journal
64
Applied economics letters
63
Finance research letters
60
Journal of banking & finance
59
Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria
55
International journal of production economics
52
Journal of economic dynamics & control
49
Quantitative finance
48
The European journal of finance
48
Insurance / Mathematics & economics
46
International review of financial analysis
43
The North American journal of economics and finance : a journal of financial economics studies
43
International journal of production research
41
Journal of international money and finance
39
Econometric reviews
38
International review of economics & finance : IREF
36
Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM
36
Journal of business research : JBR
34
Journal of financial economics
34
The review of economics and statistics
30
Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; quarterly publ. electronically on the internet
29
Econometrics : open access journal
28
Macroeconomic dynamics
27
The review of financial studies
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Journal of the Operational Research Society : OR
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Advances in business and management forecasting
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ECONIS (ZBW)
79
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1
Do decreases in Distance-to-Default predict rating downgrades?
Aggarwal, Nidhi
;
Singh, Manish K.
;
Thomas, Susan
- In:
Economic modelling
129
(
2023
),
pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472233
Saved in:
2
Diligent forecasters can make accurate predictions despite disagreeing with the consensus
An, Zidong
;
Zheng, Xinye
- In:
Economic modelling
125
(
2023
),
pp. 1-11
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014463639
Saved in:
3
Are low frequency macroeconomic variables important for high frequency electricity prices?
Foroni, Claudia
;
Ravazzolo, Francesco
;
Rossini, Luca
- In:
Economic modelling
120
(
2023
),
pp. 1-11
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384007
Saved in:
4
Forecasting dividend growth : the role of adjusted earnings yield
Yu, Deshui
;
Huang, Difang
;
Li, Chen
;
Li, Luyang
- In:
Economic modelling
120
(
2023
),
pp. 1-16
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384127
Saved in:
5
Modelling pandemic risks for policy analysis and forecasting
Angelini, Elena
;
Damjanović, Milan
;
Darracq Pariès, …
- In:
Economic modelling
120
(
2023
),
pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384173
Saved in:
6
Exchange rate predictability, risk premiums, and predictive system
Bak, Yuhyeon
;
Park, Cheolbeom
- In:
Economic modelling
116
(
2022
),
pp. 1-12
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512468
Saved in:
7
Asymmetric multivariate HAR models for realized covariance matrix : a study based on volatility timing strategies
Qu, Hui
;
Zhang, Yi
- In:
Economic modelling
106
(
2022
),
pp. 1-13
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347668
Saved in:
8
Modelling persistent stationary processes in continuous time
Jeong, Minsoo
- In:
Economic modelling
109
(
2022
),
pp. 1-12
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348235
Saved in:
9
Do realized higher moments have information content? : VaR forecasting based on the realized GARCH-RSRK model
Wang, Tianyi
;
Liang, Fang
;
Huang, Zhuo
;
Yan, Hong
- In:
Economic modelling
109
(
2022
),
pp. 1-13
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348237
Saved in:
10
Portfolio choice with return predictability and small trading frictions
Ma, Guiyuan
;
Siu, Chi Chung
;
Zhu, Song-Ping
- In:
Economic modelling
111
(
2022
),
pp. 1-13
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349030
Saved in:
11
Mixed-frequency SV model for stock volatility and macroeconomics
Shang, Yuhuang
;
Zheng, Tingguo
- In:
Economic modelling
95
(
2021
),
pp. 462-472
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696029
Saved in:
12
Realized skewness and the short-term predictability for aggregate stock market volatility
Zhang, Zhikai
;
He, Mengxi
;
Zhang, Yaojie
;
Wang, Yudong
- In:
Economic modelling
103
(
2021
),
pp. 1-13
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013163911
Saved in:
13
On the role of dependence in sticky price and sticky information Phillips curve : modelling and forecasting
Casarin, Roberto
;
Costantini, Mauro
;
Paradiso, Antonio
- In:
Economic modelling
105
(
2021
),
pp. 1-19
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013367149
Saved in:
14
Artificial neural network regression models in a panel setting : predicting economic growth
Jahn, Malte
- In:
Economic modelling
91
(
2020
),
pp. 148-154
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429029
Saved in:
15
Forecasting the consumer confidence index with tree-based MIDAS regressions
Qiu, Yue
- In:
Economic modelling
91
(
2020
),
pp. 247-256
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429036
Saved in:
16
Smoothing and forecasting mixed-frequency time series with vector exponential smoothing models
Seong, Byeongchan
- In:
Economic modelling
91
(
2020
),
pp. 463-468
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429116
Saved in:
17
Economic forecasting with evolved confidence indicators
Claveria, Oscar
;
Monte, Enric
;
Torra, Salvador
- In:
Economic modelling
93
(
2020
),
pp. 576-585
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012430273
Saved in:
18
Further empirical evidence on the forecasting of volatility with smooth transition exponential smoothing
Liu, Min
;
Taylor, James W.
;
Choo, Wei Chong
- In:
Economic modelling
93
(
2020
),
pp. 651-659
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012430324
Saved in:
19
Optimal investment and consumption with return predictability and execution costs
Ma, Guiyuan
;
Siu, Chi Chung
;
Zhu, Song-Ping
- In:
Economic modelling
88
(
2020
),
pp. 408-419
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012417252
Saved in:
20
Inflation forecasting using the New Keynesian Phillips Curve with a time-varying trend
McKnight, Stephen
;
Mihailov, Alexander
;
Rumler, Fabio
- In:
Economic modelling
87
(
2020
),
pp. 383-393
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416768
Saved in:
21
Forecasting stock market volatility : the role of technical variables
Liu, Li
;
Pan, Zhiyuan
- In:
Economic modelling
84
(
2020
),
pp. 55-65
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012210290
Saved in:
22
Do forecasters of major exchange rates herd?
Frenkel, Michael
;
Mauch, Matthias
;
Ruelke, Jan-Christoph
- In:
Economic modelling
84
(
2020
),
pp. 214-221
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012210347
Saved in:
23
Modeling and forecasting return jumps using realized variation measures
Liu, Yi
;
Liu, Huifang
;
Zhang, Lei
- In:
Economic modelling
76
(
2019
),
pp. 63-80
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012198262
Saved in:
24
Forecasting stock returns : do less powerful predictors help?
Zhang, Yaojie
;
Zeng, Qing
;
Ma, Feng
;
Shi, Benshan
- In:
Economic modelling
78
(
2019
),
pp. 32-39
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012198825
Saved in:
25
Rationality tests in the presence of instabilities in finite samples
Shagi, Makram el-
- In:
Economic modelling
79
(
2019
),
pp. 242-246
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199130
Saved in:
26
A new multiscale decomposition ensemble approach for forecasting exchange rates
Sun, Shaolong
;
Wang, Shouyang
;
Wei, Yunjie
- In:
Economic modelling
81
(
2019
),
pp. 49-58
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012201456
Saved in:
27
A comparative study of exchange rates and order flow based on wavelet transform coherence and cross wavelet transform
Firouzi, Shahrokh
;
Wang, Xiangning
- In:
Economic modelling
82
(
2019
),
pp. 42-56
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202269
Saved in:
28
A nowcasting model for Ecuador : Implementing a time-varying mean output growth
González-Astudillo, Manuel
;
Baquero, Daniel
- In:
Economic modelling
82
(
2019
),
pp. 250-263
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203092
Saved in:
29
Predicting US inflation : evidence from a new approach
Salisu, Afees A.
;
Isah, Kazeem O.
- In:
Economic modelling
71
(
2018
),
pp. 134-158
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012062461
Saved in:
30
Evaluating nowcasts of bridge equations with advanced combination schemes for the Turkish unemployment rate
Soybilgen, Barış
;
Yazgan, Mustafa Ege
- In:
Economic modelling
72
(
2018
),
pp. 99-108
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100310
Saved in:
31
Testing the optimality of inflation forecasts under flexible loss with random forests
Behrens, Christoph
;
Pierdzioch, Christian
;
Risse, Marian
- In:
Economic modelling
72
(
2018
),
pp. 270-277
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100432
Saved in:
32
ETLA macro model for forecasting and policy simulations
Lehmus, Markku
- In:
Economic modelling
74
(
2018
),
pp. 142-166
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101320
Saved in:
33
Time-varying information rigidities and fluctuations in professional forecasters' disagreement
Hur, Joonyoung
- In:
Economic modelling
75
(
2018
),
pp. 117-131
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101456
Saved in:
34
Group penalized unrestricted mixed data sampling model with application to forecasting US GDP growth
Xu, Qifa
;
Zhuo, Xingxuan
;
Jiang, Cuixia
;
Liu, Xi
;
Liu, …
- In:
Economic modelling
75
(
2018
),
pp. 221-236
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101481
Saved in:
35
Forecasting the prices of crude oil using the predictor, economic and combined constraints
Yi, Yongsheng
;
Ma, Feng
;
Zhang, Yaojie
;
Huang, Dengshi
- In:
Economic modelling
75
(
2018
),
pp. 237-245
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101486
Saved in:
36
Fitting and forecasting yield curves with a mixed-frequency affine model : evidence from China
Shang, Yuhuang
;
Zheng, Tingguo
- In:
Economic modelling
68
(
2018
),
pp. 145-154
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011934605
Saved in:
37
Asset prices and economic fluctuations : the implications of stochastic volatility
Chen, Junping
;
Xiong, Xiong
;
Zhu, Jie
;
Zhu, Xiaoneng
- In:
Economic modelling
64
(
2017
),
pp. 128-140
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756611
Saved in:
38
Catching the curl : wavelet thresholding improves forward curve modelling
Power, Gabriel J.
;
Eaves, James
;
Turvey, Calum Greig
; …
- In:
Economic modelling
64
(
2017
),
pp. 312-321
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761254
Saved in:
39
Dissecting models' forecasting performance
Siliverstovs, Boriss
- In:
Economic modelling
67
(
2017
),
pp. 294-299
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011813831
Saved in:
40
Interval-valued time series forecasting using a novel hybrid HoltI and MSVR model
Xiong, Tao
;
Chongguang, Li
;
Bao, Yukun
- In:
Economic modelling
60
(
2017
),
pp. 11-23
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011734161
Saved in:
41
Forecasting the realized range-based volatility using dynamic model averaging approach
Liu, Jing
;
Wei, Yu
;
Ma, Feng
;
Wahab, M. I. M.
- In:
Economic modelling
61
(
2017
),
pp. 12-26
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011736682
Saved in:
42
Do production managers predict turning points? : a directional analysis
Tsuchiya, Yoichi
- In:
Economic modelling
58
(
2016
),
pp. 1-8
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647014
Saved in:
43
Forecasting structural change and fat-tailed events in Australian macroeconomic variables
Cross, Jamie
;
Poon, Aubrey
- In:
Economic modelling
58
(
2016
),
pp. 34-51
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647028
Saved in:
44
On the isolated impact of copulas on risk measurement : asimulation study
Berger, Theo
- In:
Economic modelling
58
(
2016
),
pp. 475-481
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647502
Saved in:
45
On business cycle fluctuations in USA macroeconomic time series
Kiani, Khurshid M.
- In:
Economic modelling
53
(
2016
),
pp. 179-186
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011640993
Saved in:
46
Forecasting VaR and ES using dynamic conditional score models and skew Student distribution
Gao, Chun-Ting
;
Zhou, Xiao-Hua
- In:
Economic modelling
53
(
2016
),
pp. 216-223
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011641009
Saved in:
47
Breaks or long range dependence in the energy futures volatility : out-of-sample forecasting and VaR analysis
Charfeddine, Lanouar
- In:
Economic modelling
53
(
2016
),
pp. 354-374
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011641058
Saved in:
48
Does the vector error correction model perform better than others in forecasting stock price? : an application of residual income valuation theory
Kuo, Chen-Yin
- In:
Economic modelling
52
(
2016
),
pp. 772-789
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643043
Saved in:
49
Bayesian forecasting of real exchange rates with a Dornbusch prior
Ca'Zorzi, Michele
;
Kocięcki, Andrzej
;
Rubaszek, Michał
- In:
Economic modelling
46
(
2015
),
pp. 53-60
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436233
Saved in:
50
Speculative behaviour and oil price predictability
Panopulu, Aikaterinē
;
Pantelidis, Theologos
- In:
Economic modelling
47
(
2015
),
pp. 128-136
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438977
Saved in:
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