Showing 1 - 9 of 9
In recent years, India has enjoyed one of the highest growth rates worldwide, weathering the global financial crisis better than many other countries. Prudent macroeconomic policies will be critical to prolonging the current expansion, given the risks associated with high inflation and volatile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009191040
This paper argues that the subprime financial crisis reflects weakness in the real economy of the US from its start. Our comparison with prior US recessions indicates that the epicenters of most of the recessions were in the financial sector and that recessionary pressure was present in the last...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363856
The paper reviews Indias macroeconomic performance and policies since 2000. The first section briefly summarizes key macroeconomic developments regarding economic growth, inflation, external balance, the fiscal situation and aggregate savings and investment. The second section considers some of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363919
South Africa’s macroeconomic framework has served the economy well, but should be strengthened to make the economy more resilient to external shocks. Enhancing the credibility of the inflation target would provide the monetary authorities with more space for flexibility in the face of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854030
This paper analyses the monetary and fiscal policy implications of output gap estimates in times of crisis. The widening of output gaps observed in major OECD economies in the wake of the recent crisis has been mainly due to total factor productivity gaps, except in the United States where it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276902
This paper assesses the OECD’s projections for GDP growth and inflation during the global financial crisis and recovery, focussing on lessons that can be learned. The projections repeatedly over-estimated growth, failing to anticipate the extent of the slowdown and later the weak pace of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277004
Monetary and fiscal policies face huge challenges: the banking sector has collapsed; the economy is in the midst of a deep recession; the exchange rate has plunged; capital flows have been frozen; inflation is elevated; public debt has risen; source of revenues have disappeared; social needs have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498025
periods of very fast growth. We interpret these results as a sign that price level convergence comes from goods, market and … être vérifiée durant des périodes de forte croissance économique. Ces résultats suggèrent que la convergence des niveaux de … prix provient de la convergence des niveaux de prix des biens échangeables, des biens non-échangeables marchands et non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008461038
We analyse welfare effects of the interactions between the tax system and inflation in Poland and in Ukraine, using the framework developed by Feldstein (1997, 1999). This approach stresses the fact that inflation increases distortions created by the tax system, in particular distortions to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125002