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How stable are monetary models of the dollar-euro exchange rate? : a time-varying coefficient approach

Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009

exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro … (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12. Applying a novel time-varying coefficient estimation approach, we …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003877676

Is euro area money demand (still) stable? : cointegrated VAR versus single equation techniques

Belke, Ansgar; Czudaj, Robert - 2010

In this paper we present an empirically stable euro area money demand model. Using a sample period until 2009:2 shows … stability of the euro area money demand function. We also compare single equation methods like the ARDL approach, FM-OLS, CCR … applied for this purpose in previous studies. -- ARDL model ; cointegration ; euro area ; financial crisis ; money demand …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003941679

US-euro area monetary policy interdependence : new evidence from Taylor Rule based VECMs

Belke, Ansgar (contributor); Cui, Yuhua (contributor) - 2009

This paper analyses the monetary policy interdependence between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) for the period 1999-2006. Two models are specified: a partial Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and a general VECM. In the partial VECM, we look for a long-run...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003811795

Energy consumption and economic growth : new insights into the cointegration relationship

Belke, Ansgar; Dreger, Christian; Haan, Frauke de - 2010

This paper examines the long-run relationship between energy consumption and real GDP, including energy prices, for 25 OECD countries from 1981 to 2007. The distinction between common factors and idiosyncratic components using principal component analysis allows to distinguish between...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003975447

Monetary policy, global liquidity and commodity price dynamics

Belke, Ansgar; Bordon, Ingo G.; Hendricks, Torben - 2010

This paper examines the interactions between money, interest rates, goods and commodity prices at a global level. For this purpose, we aggregate data for major OECD countries and follow the Johansen/Juselius cointegrated VAR approach. Our empirical model supports the view that, when controlling...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931399

Cross-section dependence and the monetary exchange rate model : a panel analysis

Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Dobnik, Frauke - 2011

This paper tackles the issue of cross-section dependence for the monetary exchange rate model in the presence of unobserved common factors using panel data from 1973 until 2007 for 19 OECD countries. Applying a principal component analysis we distinguish between common factors and idiosyncratic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124360

Exchange rate pass-through into German import prices : a disaggregated perspective

Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Verheyen, Florian - 2013

This study analyzes the exchange rate pass-through into German import prices based on disaggregated data taken on a monthly basis between 1995 and 2012. Our main contribution is twofold: firstly, we employ various time-series techniques to analyze data for different product categories, and also...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771153

Monetary policy, stock prices and central banks cross-country comparisons of cointegrated VAR models

Belke, Ansgar; Wiedmann, Marcel - 2013

and emerging economies – namely the United States, the Euro Area, Japan, the United Kingdom, Australia, South Korea …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009779040

Foreign exchange market interventions and the $-Yen exchange rate in the long run

Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2013

This paper tries to clarify the question of whether foreign exchange market interventions conducted by the Bank of Japan are important for the dollar-yen exchange rate in the long run. Our strategy relies on a re-examination of the empirical performance of a monetary exchange rate model. This is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009779186

Exports and capacity constraints : a smooth transition regression model for six euro area countries

Belke, Ansgar; Oeking, Anne; Setzer, Ralph - 2013

euro area countries during the crisis period. In particular, the significant gains in export market shares in a number of … vulnerable euro area crisis countries did not coincide with an appropriate improvement in price competitiveness. This paper … euro area countries suggests domestic demand pressure and capacity constraint restrictions as additional variables of a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010195462