We obtain an explicit form of fine large deviation theorems for the log-likelihood ratio in testing models with observed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and get explicit rates of decrease for error probabilities of Neyman-Pearson, Bayes, and minimax tests. We also give expressions for the rates of...

In this paper bilateral models formalizing monthly growth of US imports and exports are employed to investigate the potential of nonlinear relationships linking exchange rate uncertainty and trade growth. Parametric linear and nonlinear as well as semiparametric time series models are evaluated...

A huge body of empirical and theoretical literature has emerged on the relationship between exchange rate uncertainty and international trade. In empirical studies the estimated impacts of exchange rate uncertainty on trade figures are at most weak and often ambiguous with respect to their...