Similar Search Results

Fengler, Matthias R.; Herwartz, Helmut - In: Applied quantitative finance, (pp. 313-326). 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003746416

Exchange rate uncertainty and trade growth : a comparison of linear and nonlinear (forecasting) models

Herwartz, Helmut (contributor); Weber, Henning (contributor) - 2007

A huge body of empirical and theoretical literature has emerged on the relationship between foreign exchange (FX) uncertainty and international trade. Empirical findings about the impact of FX uncertainty on trade figures are at best weak and often ambiguous with respect to its direction. Almost...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003634011

Modeling the FIBOR/EURIBOR swap term structure : an empirical approach

Blaskowitz, Oliver (contributor); … - 2005

In this study we forecast the term structure of FIBOR/EURIBOR swap rates by means of recursive vector autoregressive (VAR) models. In advance, a principal components analysis (PCA) is adopted to reduce the dimensionality of the term structure. To evaluate ex-ante forecasting performance for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003049489

Correlation impulse response functions

Hafner, Christian M.; Herwartz, Helmut - In: Finance research letters 57 (2023), pp. 1-6

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014513333

On economic evaluation of directional forecasts

Blaskowitz, Oliver; Herwartz, Helmut - 2009

It is commonly accepted that information is helpful if it can be exploited to improve a decision making process. In economics, decisions are often based on forecasts of up- or downward movements of the variable of interest. We point out that directional forecasts can provide a useful framework...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003893151

Multivariate volatility models

Fengler, Matthias R.; Herwartz, Helmut - 2001

Multivariate Volatility Models belong to the class of nonlinear models for financial data. Here we want to focus on multivariate GARCH models. These models assume that the variance of the innovation distribution follows a time dependent process conditional on information which is generated by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615423

Measuring price discovery in the European wheat market using the partial cointegration approach

Vollmer, Teresa; Herwartz, Helmut; Cramon-Taubadel, … - In: European review of agricultural economics 47 (2020) 3, pp. 1173-1200

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012257957

Measuring spot variance spillovers when (co)variances are time-varying : the case of multivariate GARCH models

Fengler, Matthias; Herwartz, Helmut - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011717132

Inflation targeting under inflation uncertainty : multi-economy evidence from a stochastic volatility model

Hartmann, Matthias; Herwartz, Helmut; Ulm, Maren - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 26 (2022) 5, pp. 1302-1337

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013270236

When, how fast and by how much do trade costs change in the euro area?

Herwartz, Helmut; Weber, Henning - 2008

Microfoundations of the euro's effect on euro area trade hinge on the timing, the speed and the size of adjustment in … at the sector level. We find that, due to falling trade costs, trade within the euro area increases between the years … 2000 and 2003 by 10 to 20 percent compared with trade between European countries that are not members of the euro area …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298765