Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …

the indirect wage effect resulting from lower unemployment risks and shorter spells in unemployment associated with higher … accounting for the effects of unemployment on individual wages using EU-SILC data. Across countries we find a high variation of … the effect of education on unemployment duration. Overall, the returns to education are estimated to be the highest in the …

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …