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This paper demonstrates how time consistency of the Ramsey policy - the optimal fiscal and monetary policy under commitment - can be achieved. Each government should leave its successor with a unique maturity structure for the nominal and indexed debt, such that the marginal benefit of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232768
include among the predetermined variables (the quot;statequot; of the economy) the vector of nonzero means of future shocks to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757526
We study the design of optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. We use a Markov jump-linear-quadratic (MJLQ) approach to study policy design, approximating the uncertainty by different discrete modes in a Markov chain, and by taking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759442
The paper argues that the reason real world fixed exchange rate regimes usually have finite bands instead of completely fixed exchange rates between realignments is that exchange rate bands, counter to the textbook result, give central banks some monetary independence, even with free...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763458
of a weaker economy with higher unemployment and lower inflation and possible benefits from a lower probability or … magnitude of a (financial) crisis. A first obvious cost is a weaker economy if no crisis occurs. A second cost—less obvious, but … higher—is a weaker economy if a crisis occurs. Taking the second cost into account, Svensson (2017) shows that for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948449
monetary policy for financial-stability purposes, is presented. LAW has obvious costs in the form of a weaker economy if no … cost—less obvious, overlooked by previous literature, but higher—is a weaker economy if a crisis occurs. For representative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000534
We examine a central bank's endogenous choice of degree of control and degree of transparency, under both commitment and discretion. Under commitment, we find that the deliberate choice of sloppy control is far less likely under a standard central-bank loss function than reported for a less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014157375
Inflation targeting is shown to imply inflation forecast targeting: the central bank's inflation forecast becomes an explicit intermediate target. Inflation forecast targeting simplifies both implementation and monitoring of monetary policy. The weight on output stabilization determines how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125561
Policy rules that are consistent with inflation targeting are examined in a small macroeconomic model of the US economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324002
We define and study transparency, credibility, and reputation in a model where the central bank's characteristics are unobservable to the private sector and are inferred from the policy outcome. A low-credibility bank optimally conducts a more inflationary policy than a high-credibility bank, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137302