Showing 1 - 10 of 12
In this paper we develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for an open economy, and estimate it on … Euro area data using Bayesian estimation techniques. The model incorporates several open economy features, as well as a … number of nominal and real frictions that have proven to be important for the empirical fit of closed economy models. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583872
This paper uses an estimated open economy DSGE model to examine if constant interest forecasts one and two years ahead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583556
reference prior distribution with an optional small open economy effect is proposed and a Gibbs sampler is derived for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585032
There are many indications that formal methods are not used to their full potential by central banks today. In this paper we demonstrate how BVAR and DSGE models can be used to shed light on questions that policy makers deal with in practice using data from Sweden. We compare the forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585648
order to stabilize the real economy. A modified Taylor curve, the forecast Taylor curve, showing the tradeoff between the … achieved an efficient stabilization of both inflation and the real economy and what relative weight on the stability of … inflation and the real economy has effectively been applied. Ex ante evaluation may be more relevant than evaluation ex post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003896109
include among the predetermined variables (the "state" of the economy) the vector of nonzero means of future shocks to a given …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008696833
When generating conditional forecasts in dynamic models it is common to impose the conditions as restrictions on future structural shocks. However, these conditional forecasts often ignore that there may be uncertainty about the future development of the restricted variables. Our paper therefore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009792830
The purpose of the paper is to survey and discuss in ation targeting in the context of monetary policy rules. The paper provides a general conceptual discussion of monetary policy rules, attempts to clarify the essential characteristics of in ation targeting, compares in ation targeting to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010128028
We define and study transparency, credibility, and reputation in a model where the central bank's characteristics are unobservable to the private sector and are inferred from the policy outcome. A low-credibility bank optimally conducts a more expansionary policy than a high-credibility bank, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010128043
economy. We compare the properties and outcomes of explicit "instrument rules" as well as "targeting rules". The latter, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010128044