Showing 1 - 10 of 105
We develop a sovereign default risk index using natural language processing techniques and 10 million news articles covering over 100 countries. The index is a highfrequency measure of countries' default risk, particularly for those lacking marketbased measures: it correlates with sovereign CDS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190704
Financial shocks represent a major driver of fluctuations in tail risk, defined as the 5th percentile of the forecast distributions of output and inflation. Since the variance and the asymmetry of the forecast distributions are largely driven by the left tail, financial shocks turn out to play a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232607
By analyzing housing data from the period 1850 to 2019 in Norway, we find evidence of downward nominal house price rigidity. More specifically, we document that there is a marked fraction of repeat-sales housing transactions with a zero nominal price change and show that this fraction increases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013484725
Financial shocks generate a protracted and quantitatively important effect on real economic activity and financial markets only if the shocks are both negative and large. Otherwise, their role is quite modest. Financial shocks have become more important for economic fluctuations after the 2000...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013207315
RMB averaged 6 %, compared to an average share of 58 % for the USD and 35 % for the euro. We also find that the USD, euro …, euro and yen weights. An increase in financial markets volatility leads developing countries to increase anchor weights of … the developed countries currencies USD, euro and yen. Heightened geopolitical uncertainty only increases the weights of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014519200
Public debt is a very weak predictor of a country's credit rating if a country's other features are not taken into account. However, everything else equal, more public debt is associated with worse ratings. This paper explores the relationship between debt and sovereign creditworthiness by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170922
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013167185
from their own sovereign. We exploit granular and confidential data on euro area banks operating in different countries to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013207291
We study whether regulation that relies on historical cost accounting (HCA) rather than mark-to-market accounting (MMA) to insulate banks' net worth from financial market volatility affects the transmission of quantitative easing (QE) through the bank lending channel. Using detailed supervisory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320749
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287218