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market outcomes than job switchers. Over 40% of all workers separating into unemployment regain employment at their previous … temporary layoff. Recalls are associated with much shorter unemployment duration and better wage changes. Negative duration … dependence of unemployment nearly disappears once recalls are excluded. We also find that the probability of finding a new job is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732483
-market policy instruments, namely, a vacancy subsidy, a layoff tax and unemployment benefits. The authors derive analytical … that hiring subsidies, layoff taxes and the replacement rate of unemployment insurance should all rise in recessions. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009366950
The Phillips curve has long been used as a foundation for forecasting inflation. Yet numerous studies indicate that over the past 20 years or so, inflation forecasts based on the Phillips curve generally do not predict inflation any better than a univariate forecasting model. In this paper, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320692
monthly Current Population Survey, I estimate unemployment-to-employment (UE) hazard function and unemployment-to-inactivity …This paper attempts to quantify the effects of extended unemployment insurance benefits in recent years. Using the … suggest that extended benefits in recent years have raised male workers’ unemployment rate by 1.2 percentage points with a 90 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008764366
Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia> The Philadelphia Chapter of the Risk Management Association, Philadelphia, PA, January 11, 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727091
Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, New Jersey Bankers Association, May 12, 2011, Aventura, Florida
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727136
Economic Prospects and Monetary Policy for the New Year> 33rd Annual Economic Seminar, January 11, 2012, Rochester, New York
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727157
revolving nature of credit card lending is naturally modeled in this framework. Our results indicate that unemployment, and in … particular the level and change in unemployment, plays a significant role in the probability of transition across delinquency … significant impact for high credit score and for high-utilization accounts. Our results also indicate that unemployment and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027302
separation rate, whether exogenous or endogenous, greatly increases the unemployment variability generated by the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421573
We build a New Keynesian model in which heterogeneous workers differ with regard to their employment status due to search and matching frictions in the labor market, their potential labor income, and their amount of savings. We use this laboratory to quantitatively assess who stands to win or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010570546