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Domestic and Multilateral Effects of Capital Controls in Emerging Markets

Pasricha, Gurnain - 2015

Using a novel, high frequency dataset on capital control actions in 16 emerging market economies (EMEs) from 2001 to 2012, we provide new insights into the domestic and multilateral effects of capital controls. Increases in capital account openness reduce monetary policy autonomy and increase...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457844

Political Booms, Financial Crises

Herrera, Helios - 2014

We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments' popularity, predict financial crises above and beyond other better-known early warning indicators, such as credit booms. This predictive power, however, only holds in emerging economies. We show that governments in emerging...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458321

Fundamentals and Sovereign Risk of Emerging Markets

Aizenman, Joshua - 2013

We empirically assess the relative importance of various economic fundamentals in accounting for the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads of emerging markets during 2004-2012, which encompasses the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. Inflation, state fragility, external debt, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459699

The Rise of Middle Kingdoms : Emerging Economies in Global Trade

Hanson, Gordon H. - 2012

-income countries into the global economy. Led by China and India, the share of developing economies in global exports more than doubled … between 1994 and 2008. One feature of new trade patterns is greater South-South trade. China and India have booming demand for …-South commerce overtakes North-North flows. China's export specialization evolves rapidly over time, revealing a capacity to speed up …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460698

Measuring Financial Integration : More Data, More Countries, More Expectations

Chinn, Menzie David; Itō, Hiro - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

We assess market mediated financial integration over the last fifty years. We first systematically lay out several definitions of financial integration, and then review the evidence regarding whether covered interest parity, uncovered interest parity, and real interest parity hold across...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322892

The Global Dollar Cycle

Obstfeld, Maurice; Zhou, Haonan - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

The U.S. dollar's nominal effective exchange rate closely tracks global financial conditions, which themselves show a cyclical pattern. Over that cycle, world asset prices, leverage, and capital flows move in concert with global growth, especially influencing the fortunes of emerging and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247924

Global Banks and Systemic Debt Crises

Morelli, Juan M.; Ottonello, Pablo; Perez, Diego J. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

We study the role of global financial intermediaries in international lending. We construct a model of the world economy, in which heterogeneous borrowers issue risky securities purchased by financial intermediaries. Aggregate shocks transmit internationally through financial intermediaries' net...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585376

Flexibility of Adjustment to Shocks : Economic Growth and Volatility of Middle-Income Countries Before and After the Global Financial Crisis of 2008

Aizenman, Joshua - 2017

The pronounced and persistent impact of the global financial crisis of 2008 motivates our empirical analysis of the role of institutions and macroeconomic fundamentals on countries' adjustment to shocks. Our empirical analysis shows that the associations of growth level, growth volatility,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455214

Lessons Unlearned? Corporate Debt in Emerging Markets

Alfaro, Laura - 2017

This paper documents a set of new stylized facts about leverage and financial fragility for emerging market firms following the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Corporate debt vulnerability indicators during the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) attributed to corporate financial roots provide a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455274

Emergence of Asia : Reforms, Corporate Savings, and Global Imbalances

Fan, Jingting - 2016

One of the explanations for global imbalances is the self-financing behavior of credit-constrained firms in rapidly growing emerging markets. We use an extensive firm-level data set from several Asian countries during 2002-2011, and test the micro foundation of this theory by estimating the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456342