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This paper studies the reaction of the mean and volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate to statements of ECB … officials during the first years of EMU. We focus on statements on monetary policy and the (potential) strength of the euro. We …. In some cases there are effects of statements on the level of the euro-dollar rate. Efforts to 'talk up' the euro have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001753630
In this paper we have applied two approaches to the study of the dollar real exchange rate in relation with the Euro … seven developed countries, four of them Euro-area members. Second, we aggregate the European variables and estimate a model … for the Euro-dollar real exchange rate using time series techniques. After identification and model selection, the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001720384
We consider VAR models for variables exhibiting cointegration and comon cyclical features. While the presence of cointegration reduces the rank of the long-run multiplier matrix, other types of common features lead to rank reduction of the short-run dynamics. We distinguish between strong and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001590471
The East Asian miracle was real. Prior to the 1997 economic and currency crises, Asian NICs - Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan - achieved remarkable annual GDP growth. In these countries the overall economic performance was significantly determined by the industrial development triggered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001652953
The ultimate object of research concerning the Euro is to answer the following questions: (#1) What is the equilibrium … trajectory of the nominal euro, measured as dollars/euro? (#2) To what extent has the equilibrium nominal euro been determined by … transitory factors in affecting the value of the euro? (#4) Is the euro currently undervalued, and by what criteria? Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001610964
of the euro/dollar real exchange rate. Given this value, one could then give a precise meaning to the notion of … undervaluation or overvaluation of the euro, and calculate its misalignment. The problem however arises of how to assess the …. This of course is not (yet) possible for the euro, so that all the calculations of misalignment of the euro that have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001613664
The debate about Canadian-U.S. monetary integration is surveyed. The choice is among overall monetary orders,rather than exchange rate regimes and questions of policy credibility and political accountability are crucial. Canada's recent economic performance under inflation targets, and arguments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001703672
The aim of this paper is to demonstrate how the change in actual and potential market risks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) during the two-year period 2007-2008 can be analyzed with the help of-analysis. In the empirical analysis, the average of the Lyapunov exponents for the dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321428
This paper explains the emergence of liquidity traps in the aftermath of large-scale financial crises, as happened in the US 1930s, Japan 1990s and recently in the US and Europe. The paper introduces a new balance sheet channel that links equity capital to the risk-free interest rate. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335985
We use a quantitative equilibrium model with houses, collateralized debt and foreign borrowing to study the impact of global imbalances on the U.S. economy in the 2000s. Our results suggest that the dynamics of foreign capital flows account for between one fourth and one third of the increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352184