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There is already a substantial literature documenting the fact that low yield currencies typically appreciate during times of global financial stress and behave as safe havens. The main objective of this paper is to find out what the fundamentals of safe haven currencies are. We analyse a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901495
We present estimates of finance-adjusted output gaps which incorporate the information on the domestic and global credit cycles for a sample of emerging market economies (EMEs). Following recent BIS research, we use a state-space representation of an HP filter augmented with a measure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637326
This paper examines the potential benefits of security fungibility by conducting the first comprehensive analysis of Global bonds. Unlike other debt securities, Global bonds’ fungibility allows them to be placed simultaneously in bond markets around the world; they trade, clear and settle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002811369
Both academic researchers and policymakers posit a unique role for the US in the inter-national financial system. This paper investigates the characteristics and determinants of US cross-border financial flows and examines how these contrast with those of the rest of the world. We analyse the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975553
This paper identifies the various channels that give rise to a "sovereign-bank nexus" whereby the financial health of banks and sovereigns is intertwined. We find that banks and sovereigns are linked by three interacting channels: banks hold large amounts of sovereign debt; banks are protected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011901498
A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharp appreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper finds that negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered a significant strengthening of the US dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867020
Euro area governments have committed to break the doom loop between banks and sovereigns. But policymakers disagree on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061145
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011618254
This paper investigates the link between sovereign ratings and macroeconomic fundamentals for a group of euro area … countries which recorded rating downgrades amid the euro area sovereign debt crisis. We apply an elaborated econometric … estimation technique, based on a Bayesian ordered probit model, to understand how the decisions of rating agencies can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637529
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010441239