In the present study we investigate the data provided by the karstwater level monitoring system set up in the Transdanubian Mountains, more precisely in the Bakony, the Keszthelyi Mountains and the Balaton-Highland. (Here, like in the sequel, the term karstwater is used for groundwater in...

We show that OLS and GLS are asymptotically equivalent in the linear regression model with AR (p) disturbances and a wide range of trending regressors_ and that OLS based statistical inference is still meaningful after proper adjustment of the test statistics.

Finanzmarktdaten wie Zinsen, Aktien- oder Wechselkurse und andere spekulative Preise setzen sich durch verschiedene Besonderheiten von sonstigen ökonomischen Zeitreihendaten ab. Dieser Artikel untersucht die Konsequenzen dieser Besonderheiten für die rationale Bewertung von Finanzinstrumenten...

The major focus of this paper is to determine whether the accuracy of German macroeconomic forecasts has improved over time. We examine 1-year-ahead forecasts of real GDP and inflation for 1967 to 2001 made by three major German forecasting groups and the OECD. We examine the accuracy of the...

We develop and test a robust procedure for extracting an underlying signal in form of a time-varying trend from very noisy time series. The application we have in mind is online monitoring data measured in intensive care, where we find periods of relative constancy, slow monotonic trends, level...