Showing 1 - 10 of 24
In this article, our target is to analyze the effects of fiscal policy on GDP in Romania, using a model based on an unrestricted Vector Autoregression Model (VAR). We used in our research the quarterly data taken from the National Statistics Institute reports and Eurostat. The main independent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010711197
The Stipulations of Treaty of Maastricht concerning the Monetary and Economic Union offer a new dimension to the politics of general taxation, by strict limitation of the governments’ possibility on financing the public outgoings by loans. The Accord for Steadiness and Development foresees...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854925
Severely affected by the crisis, considered as the deepest one since the Great Depression between 1929-1933, the European Union’s economy has recorded the sharpest decline in its history starting with the end of 2007. In response to this downturn, interventions included implementing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855064
Worldwide, over time, the years of economic crisis were defined by significant increases in the levels of budget deficits. Discussions on sizing budget deficits, financing, especially the volume of public debt became more intense, both politically and academically. The impact of budget deficit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010940735
The goal of this paper is to discuss the joint analyses of fiscal, income and monetary policy in modifying aggregate spending. The paper is focused on the specific characteristics of aggregate demand depending on phases of economic cycle. Through this paper I also intend to emphasize that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010925999
Empirical studies support the hysteresis hypothesis that recessions have a permanent effect on the level of output. We analyze the implications of hysteresis for fiscal policy in a DSGE model. We assume a simple learning-by-doing mechanism where demand-driven changes in employment can affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583674
Using panel data of 17 OECD countries for 1980-2011, we find that the distributional consequences of fiscal consolidations depend significantly on the level of private indebtedness. Austerity leads to a strong and persistent increase in income inequality during periods of private debt overhang....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011595946
The standardisation of the European systems of national accounts has progressed significantly in recent years. Some room for interpretation remains in regard to some accounting standards, the periodicity of the data, and the quality of the forecasts of budget deficits. Yet national accounts data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260646
We analyse the effectiveness of fiscal policy rules for business cycle stabilisation in a monetary union using a quarterly macro-econometric model of Germany. The simulations compare a deficit target and an expenditure target under a range of supply, demand and fiscal shocks. Their effects are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260720
We estimate the political economy determinants of budget deficit forecast errors. Since the adoption of the Stability Pact, Eurozone governments have manipulated forecasts before elections. The political orientation and the institutional design of governments also affects the quality of forecasts.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260865