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particular financial stress in the euro area. A second aim is to construct summary indices on the conditions and level of stress … financial market conditions in the euro area, our results suggest that the data respond quite differently to fundamental shocks … financial sector in the euro area react fairly heterogonously to such shocks. We estimate several common factors and by means of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010204040
This paper analyzes the distribution of discretionary transfers from higher tiers of government in the process of fiscal adjustment in local jurisdictions which were hit by a negative revenue shock in formula transfers. Spanish local governments experienced a 30% fall in their revenue-sharing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499738
In this paper, I examine the effects of a countercyclical fiscal policy that gave firms additional tax refunds -- additional liquidity -- at the end of the past two recessions. I take advantage of a discontinuity in the slope of the tax refund formula to estimate the policy's impact. I find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499759
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We propose a parsimonious semiparametric method for macroeconomic forecasting during episodes of sudden changes. Based on the notion of clustering and similarity, we partition the time series into blocks, search for the closest blocks to the most recent block of observations, and with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011708260
We examine the effect of federal and subnational fiscal policy on aggregate demand in the U.S. by introducing the fiscal effect (FE) measure. FE can be decomposed into three components. Discretionary FE quantifies the effect of discretionary or legislated policy changes on aggregate demand....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709630
The collapse of international trade surrounding the Great Recession has garnered significant attention. This paper studies firm entry and exit in foreign markets and their role in the post-recession recovery of U.S. exports using confidential microdata from the U.S. Census Bureau. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803263