Narrow search
Showing 1 - 3 of 3
Cover Image
A model of financial bubbles and drawdowns with non-local behavioral self-referencing
Malevergne, Yannick; Sornette, Didier; Wei, Ran - 2021
We propose a novel class of models in which the crash hazard rate is determined by a function of a non-local estimation … of mispricing. Rooted in behavioral finance, the non-local estimation embodies in particular the characteristic of … series because they assume that crashes occur in a single large negative jump, which is counterfactual. The model estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800780
Cover Image
Investors' expectations, management fees and the underperformance of mutual funds
Huesler, Andreas D.; Malevergne, Yannick; Sornette, Didier - 2012
Why do investors keep buying underperforming mutual funds? To address this issue, we develop a one-period principal-agent model with a representative investor and a fund manager in an asymmetric information framework. This model shows that the investors perception of the fund plays the key role...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009561613
Cover Image
Robust reverse engineering of cross-sectional returns and improved portfolio allocation performance using the CAPM
Ni, Xiaohui; Malevergne, Yannick; Sornette, Didier; … - 2011
Following Levy and Roll [2010], we posit that the market portfolio is the efficient tangent Markowitz portfolio, i.e., it is mean-variance efficient. We then reverse engineer the expected returns and variance terms with constraints imposed by empirical data on a hierarchy of asset baskets. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009611