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In Part I the author was concerned with modeling the monthly logarithmic CHF/USD exchange rate, ''s''. He rejected a model proposed by B.T. McCallum. Searching for a more appropriate framework a story by P. De Grauwe was introduced, bringing complex cognitive processes and social practices into...

The analysis of monthly exchange rates is carried out using a model of McCallum, which is based on the concept of Rational Expectations. Applying the model to the CHF/USD exchange rate starting a misspecification analysis, the RE component appears to be a weak point of the model. The theory of...

In Part I the author was concerned with modeling the monthly logarithmic CHF/USD exchange rate, "s". He rejected a model proposed by B.T. McCallum. Searching for a more appropriate framework a story by P. De Grauwe was introduced, bringing complex cognitive processes and social practices into...

The analysis of monthly exchange rates is carried out using a model of McCallum [14], which is based on the concept of Rational Expectations. Applying the model to the CHF-USD exchange rate, st, starting a misspecification analysis, the RE component appears to be a weak point of the model. The...