Showing 1 - 10 of 28
We introduce a new measure called Inflation-at-Risk (I@R) associated with (left and right) tail inflation risk. We … estimate I@R using survey-based density forecasts. We show that it contains information not covered by usual inflation risk … indicators which focus on inflation uncertainty and do not distinguish between the risks of low or high future inflation outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815970
should not affect agents' expectations of inflation in the long term. Our estimated structural VARs show that both long- and … short-term inflation expectations are sensitive to policy-related uncertainty shocks. While economic activity contracts …, long-term inflation expectations raise in response to such shocks. These results suggest that observed uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010937890
paper aims to use a macro-sector estimation to show how the price-decreasing effects of Internet shopping outweigh the price …-increasing effects. In that purpose, we use French price index series and distance selling sales covering about 30 sectors, from 1990 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008532046
The decline in the sensitivity of inflation to domestic slack observed in developed countries over the last 25 years … also the bigger ones) enter the export market. They tend to transmit less marginal cost fluctuations into inflation because … the proportion of large firms reduces the pass-through of marginal cost into inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196011
the occurrence of the single currency. After the 2008 crisis, Euro area inflation rates follow the ECB’s price stability …We study the behavior of inflation rates among the 12 initial Euro countries in order to test whether and when the … this new procedure to Euro area inflation, we find strong and lasting evidence of convergence among the inflation rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019288
return on assets is determined by incentives eliciting voluntary debt repayment. I show that the inflation rate or, more …, money is used in equilibrium and the optimal inflation rate is positive. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320820
assumption improves the fit of the inflation equation. Third, this assumption is necessary for getting an important reduction of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293540
comes when net worth of potential buyers is low, the ensuing price dynamics can be described as a fire sale. The proposed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815967
monetary policy in the United States, in particular its interaction with the formation of inflation expectations and the … linkages between monetary policy, inflation expectations and the behaviour of CPI inflation. We use Livingston Survey data for … expected inflation, measured at a bi-annual frequency, actual inflation, unemployment and a nominal interest rate to estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816004
sales; (iv) price changes related to sales and product replacements are less driven by inflation variations than regular … price changes; (v) the monthly inflation rate is correlated to the frequencies of price decreases and increases. The …Using micro price data covering the Great Recession period, we document new facts on price rigidity in France: (i) each …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816022