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Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476706
choices matter for output volatility and the medium-term level of inflation. Greater monetary independence is associated with … lower output volatility while greater exchange rate stability implies greater output volatility, which can be mitigated if a … inflation rate. We find that trilemma policy configurations and external finances affect output volatility through the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462774
Consensus forecasts for the global economy over the medium and long term predict the world's economic gravity will … substantially shift towards Asia and especially towards the Asian Giants, China and India. While such forecasts may pan out, there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458092
With many emerging market currencies tied to the U.S. dollar either implicitly or explicitly, movements in the exchange values of the currencies of major countries have the potential to influence the competitive position of many developing countries. According to some analysts, establishing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470183
This paper addresses the puzzle of regime-dependent volatility in foreign exchange. We extend the literature in two … induce volatility under flexible rates because they have portfolio-balance effects on price, whereas under fixed rates the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470227
We introduce the real exchange rate volatility curve as a useful device to understand the role of price stickiness in … theory predicts that the real exchange rate volatility curve is a U-shaped function of the degree of price stickiness. Using … sector-level European real exchange rate data and frequency of price changes, we estimate the volatility curve. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462574
of a 3-dimensional panel of prices of 95 very disaggregated goods (e.g., light bulbs) in 83 cities from around the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470250
Exchange rates depreciate by the difference between the domestic and foreign marginal utility growths. Exchange rates vary a lot , as much as 10% per year. However, equity premia imply that marginal utility growths vary much more, by at least 50% per year. This means that marginal utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470316
A gravity model is used to assess the separate effects of exchange rate volatility and currency unions on international … exchange rate volatility, even after controlling for a host of features, including the endogenous nature of the exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471350
volatility of economic fluctuations. In a sample of 92 countries as well as a sample of OECD countries, we find that countries … with higher volatility have lower growth. The addition of standard control variables strengthens the negative relationship …. We also find that government spending-induced volatility is negatively associated with growth even after controlling for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473940