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choices matter for output volatility and the medium-term level of inflation. Greater monetary independence is associated with … lower output volatility while greater exchange rate stability implies greater output volatility, which can be mitigated if a … inflation rate. We find that trilemma policy configurations and external finances affect output volatility through the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462774
This paper explores the potential impacts on both China and other major countries of possible mega trade deals. These include the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), and various blocked deals. We use a numerical 13-country global general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458242
Consensus forecasts for the global economy over the medium and long term predict the world's economic gravity will … substantially shift towards Asia and especially towards the Asian Giants, China and India. While such forecasts may pan out, there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458092
One of the explanations for global imbalances is the self-financing behavior of credit-constrained firms in rapidly growing emerging markets. We use an extensive firm-level data set from several Asian countries during 2002-2011, and test the micro foundation of this theory by estimating the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456342
With many emerging market currencies tied to the U.S. dollar either implicitly or explicitly, movements in the exchange values of the currencies of major countries have the potential to influence the competitive position of many developing countries. According to some analysts, establishing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470183
relationship between trade and exchange rate volatility / Christian Broda and John Romalis -- Comments: Chaiyasit Anuchitworawong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008909722
volatility of economic fluctuations. In a sample of 92 countries as well as a sample of OECD countries, we find that countries … with higher volatility have lower growth. The addition of standard control variables strengthens the negative relationship …. We also find that government spending-induced volatility is negatively associated with growth even after controlling for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473940
sub-standard economic performance. They are: long-term trends in world commodity prices, volatility, crowding out of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462796
We reconsider the empirical links between volatility and growth between 1970 and 2007. There is a strong and … their economies. The amount of volatility driven by these external factors is highly correlated, cross-sectionally, with the … overall amount of volatility in GDP growth. There is also a strong correlation between a country's average growth rate and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463424
evidence for changes in persistence and in volatility of price across three well defined periods. We argue that historically …, the real price of oil has tended to be highly persistent and volatile whenever rapid industrialization in a major world … account for the increased volatility of oil price we observe in these periods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463721