Showing 1 - 10 of 253
We provide new, time-varying estimates of the housing wealth effect back to the 1980s. We exploit systematic differences in city-level exposure to regional house price cycles to instrument for house prices. Our main findings are that: 1) Large housing wealth effects are not new: we estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012452991
Despite their strong positive average returns across numerous asset classes, momentum strategies can experience infrequent and persistent strings of negative returns. These momentum crashes are partly forecastable. They occur in "panic" states - following market declines and when market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458228
This paper applies the Bates (RFS, 2006) methodology to the problem of estimating and filtering time- changed Lévy processes, using daily data on U.S. stock market excess returns over 1926-2006. In contrast to density-based filtration approaches, the methodology recursively updates the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463735
We build a variation of the neoclassical growth model in which both wealth shocks (in the sense of wealth destruction) and financial shocks to households generate recessions. The model features three mild departures from the standard model: (1) adjustment costs make it difficult to expand the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459219
The direct financial impact of the financial crisis has been to deal a heavy blow to investment-based pensions; many workers lost a substantial portion of their retirement saving. The financial sector implosion produced an economic crisis for the rest of the economy via high unemployment and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461524
One plausible mechanism through which financial market shocks may propagate across countries is through the effect of past gains and losses on investors' risk aversion. The paper first presents a simple model examining how heterogeneous changes in investors' risk aversion affects portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467746
In this paper, we develop an equilibrium model for stock market liquidity and its impact on asset prices when constant … prevents them from synchronizing their trades and hence gives rise to endogenous order imbalances and the need for liquidity …. Moreover, the endogenous liquidity need, when it occurs, is characterized by excessive selling of significant magnitudes. Such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464633
The dramatic rise and fall of the Japanese equity market provides a unique opportunity to examine market-and firm-specific risks over different market conditions. The price behavior of Japanese equities in the 1990s is found to resemble that of U.S. equities during the Great Depression. Both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469056
Financial assets provide return and liquidity services to their holders. However, during severe financial crises many … asset prices plummet, destroying their liquidity provision function at the worst possible time. In this paper we present a … not control or understand. The liquidity of the market quickly vanishes and a financial crisis ensues. The model exhibits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463170
liquidity provision. Analysis of reversal strategies shows that the expected return from liquidity provision is strongly time … Ratios during times of high VIX. The results point to withdrawal of liquidity supply, and an associated increase in the … expected returns from liquidity provision, as a main driver behind the evaporation of liquidity during times of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461005