Showing 1 - 10 of 15
This paper discusses identification problems in the fractionally cointegrated system of Johansen (2008) and Johansen and Nielsen (2012). It is shown that several equivalent re-parameterizations of the model associated with different fractional integration and cointegration parameters may exist...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019688
A stylized fact is that realized variance has long memory. We show that, when the instantaneous volatility is driven by a fractional Brownian motion, the integrated variance is characterized by long-range dependence. As a consequence, the realized variance inherits this property when prices are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008915798
The finite sample properties of the state space methods applied to long memory time series are analyzed through Monte Carlo simulations. The state space setup allows to introduce a novel modeling approach in the long memory framework, which directly tackles measurement errors and random level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020197
This paper discusses identification problems in the fractionally cointegrated system of Johansen (2008) and Johansen and Nielsen (2012). The identification problem arises when the lag structure is over-specified, such that there exist several equivalent reparametrization of the model associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851238
A modification of the self-perturbed Kalman filter of Park and Jun (1992) is proposed for the on-line estimation of models subject to parameter instability. The perturbationterm in the updating equation of the state covariance matrix is weighted by the measurement error variance, thus avoiding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851262
The persistent nature of equity volatility is investigated by means of a multi-factor stochastic volatility model with time varying parameters. The parameters are estimated by means of a sequential indirect inference procedure which adopts as auxiliary model a time-varying generalization of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851276
We analyze the properties of the indirect inference estimator when the observed series are contaminated by measurement error. We show that the indirect inference estimates are asymptotically biased when the nuisance parameters of the measurement error distribution are neglected in the indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011106767
The volatility of financial returns is characterized by rapid and large increments. We propose an extension of the Heterogeneous Autoregressive model to incorporate jumps into the dynamics of the ex-post volatility measures. Using the realized-range measures of 36 NYSE stocks, we show that there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010889883
The realized volatility of financial returns is characterized by persistence and occurrence of unpredictable large increments. To capture those features, we introduce the Multiplicative Error Model with jumps (MEM-J). When a jump component is included in the multiplicative specification, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010892069
We propose a simple model in which realized stock market return volatility and implied volatility backed out of option prices are subject to common level shifts corresponding to movements between bull and bear markets. The model is estimated using the Kalman filter in a generalization to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008549066