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results based on a dynamic general equilibrium model of the world economy, and using the EU KLEMS database, indicate that TFP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677719
The real effective exchange rate of the dollar is close to its minimum level for the past 4decades (as of September 2008). At the same time, however, the U.S. trade and currentaccount deficits remain large and, absent a significant correction in coming years, wouldcontribute to a further...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677685
This paper provides an overview of inflation targeting frameworks and macroeconomic performance under inflation targeting. Inflation targeting frameworks are generally quite similar across countries, and a broad consensus has developed in favor of ""flexible"" inflation targeting. The evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677863
We use a general-equilibrium model to explain the rise in global trade and payments imbalances since the mid-1990s, and then to construct adjustment paths to a steady state. Assuming that the shocks giving rise to the imbalances do not suddenly reverse, simulated movements in the U.S. trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677847
This paper lays out a structural model that incorporates key features of monetary transmission in typical emerging-market economies, including a bank-credit channel and the role of external debt accumulation on country risk premia and exchange rate dynamics. We use an SVAR representation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677640
The paper analyses the role of fiscal and monetary policy for the development of the current account imbalances in the euro area, including the most recent developments during the coronavirus crisis. Several financial transmission channels such as international bank lending, changes in TARGET2...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221180
Since the start of the 2008 - 09 financial crisis, the Polish Overnight Index Average (POLONIA) has persistently been below the policy rate, suggesting a limited influence of the NBP's open market operations on the short-term interbank rate. In this regard, this paper analyzes the behavior of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621633
'Leaning against the wind' (LAW) with a higher monetary policy interest rate may have benefits in terms of lower real debt growth and associated lower probability of a financial crisis but has costs in terms of higher unemployment and lower inflation, importantly including a higher cost of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408003
This is the fourth chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled ""On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation- Targeting Regimes: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say."" It examines a number of issues related to transparency and accountability in an inflation-targeting regime. It first looks at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677489
The paper presents a model of fiscal dominance with borrowing constraints, and provides evidence for a large number of sub-Saharan African countries on the relative importance of fiscal and monetary determinants of inflation. Based on the dynamic response of inflation to different shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677562