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Subjective models of the macroeconomy : evidence from experts and a representative sample
Andre, Peter; Pizzinelli, Carlo; Roth, Christopher; … - 2019
We propose a method to measure people's subjective models of the macroeconomy. Using a sample of 2,200 households representative of the US population and a sample of more than 1,000 experts, we measure beliefs about how the unemployment rate and the inflation rate respond to four different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104048
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Macroeconomic shocks and racial labour market differences in the U.S.
De, Kuhelika; Compton, Ryan A.; Giedeman, Daniel C.; … - 2019
Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
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The failure of ECB monetary policy from a Mises-Hayek perspective
Schnabl, Gunther - 2017
The paper analyses the common European monetary policy based on a Mises-Hayek overinvestment framework, which is combined with the theory of optimum currency areas. It shows how since the turn of the millennium a too expansionary monetary policy contributed to unsustainable overinvestment booms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619626
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Can central banks do the unpleasant job that governments should do?
Dimakopoulou, Vasiliki; Oikonomidēs, Geōrgios; … - 2023
We investigate what happens when the fiscal authorities do not react to rising public debt so that the unpleasant task of fiscal sustainability falls upon the Central Bank (CB). In particular, we explore whether the CB's bond purchases in the secondary market can restore stability and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014331713
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The ECB's policy, the recovery fund and the importance of trust : the case of Greece
Dimakopoulou, Vasiliki; Oikonomidēs, Geōrgios; … - 2021
This paper, using a microfounded macroeconomic model that embeds the key features of the Greek economy, studies the efficacy of the various policy measures taken, at national and EU level, to cushion the economic effects of the pandemic shock. The paper attempts to give quantitative answers to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650611
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Fiscal transfers in a monetary union with exit option
Hefeker, Carsten; Neugart, Michael - 2015
It is widely debated whether a monetary union has to be accompanied by a fiscal transfer scheme to accommodate asymmetric shocks. We build a model of a monetary union with a central bank and two heterogeneous countries that are linked by a fiscal transfer scheme with repercussions on monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010492336
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Central bank swap lines
Bahaj, Saleem; Reis, Ricardo - 2018 - First draft: October 2017
Swap lines between advanced-economy central banks are a new important part of the global financial architecture. This paper analyses their monetary policy effects from three perspectives. First, from the perspective of the central banks, it shows that the swap line mimics discount-window credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867130
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Limits of monetary policy autonomy by East Asian debtor central banks
Löffler, Axel; Schnabl, Gunther; Schobert, Franziska - 2012
thereby increase surplus liquidity. East Asian central banks with more flexible exchange rate regimes also face surplus … liquidity that mainly emanates from past accumulation of foreign reserves. We show based on an augmented Barro …-Gordon-type central bank loss function that in both cases surplus liquidity limits monetary policy autonomy. In case of fixed exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009500749
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Shocks, frictions, and inequality in US business cycles
Bayer, Christian; Born, Benjamin; Luetticke, Ralph - 2020
How much does inequality matter for the business cycle and vice versa? Using a Bayesian likelihood approach, we estimate a heterogeneous-agent New-Keynesian (HANK) model with incomplete markets and portfolio choice between liquid and illiquid assets. The model enlarges the set of shocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162730
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The ECB's fiscal policy
Sinn, Hans-Werner - 2018
While the ECB helped mitigate the euro crisis in the aftermath of Lehman, it has stretched its monetary mandate and moved into fiscal territory. This text describes and summarises the crucial role played by the ECB in the intervention spiral resulting from its bid to manage the crisis. It also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011845207