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conditions, credit default and bank capitalization for the transmission of macroeconomic shocks. We fit the model to euro area …We develop a stylized DSGE model in which banks face capital regulation and their loan portfolios are subject to non … empirical literature, i.e. the pro-cyclicality of bank profitability and the counter-cyclical response of firm default rates and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557772
In U.S. data 1981-2012, unsecured firm credit moves procyclically and tends to lead GDP, while secured firm credit is … acyclical; similarly, shocks to unsecured firm credit explain a far larger fraction of output fluctuations than shocks to … secured credit. In this paper we develop a tractable dynamic general equilibrium model in which unsecured firm credit arises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503469
question, we identify the compositional changes in banks' supply of credit using the variation in their holdings of residential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064522
. We document two new facts using VAR methods. First, a (positive) shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in … various credit spread indicators considered in the macro-finance literature. The decline in the credit spread indicators is … associated with a robust improvement in credit supply indicators, along with a broad based expansion in economic activity. Second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012373126
This paper uses data from a panel of more than 400 Italian banks for the period 2001 - 2012 to examine the main …, signalling) or non-discretionary (related to the business cycle). The results suggest that LLP in Italian banks is driven mainly … local banks: since their loans are more collateralised, their behaviour is more strongly affected by supervisory activity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496145
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank …Shocks to bank lending, risk-taking and securitization activities that are orthogonal to real economy and monetary … using a model of bank risk-taking and securitization. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257361
the period 2003Q1–2019Q4 with a special emphasis on credit conditions. With the help of this model, monetary policy … determining the relative weight of these states over time. We show that shocks to the credit spread and shocks to credit standards … directly lead to a reduction of real GDP growth, whereas shocks to the quantity of credit are less important in explaining …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012383710
Small businesses (SMEs) depend on banks for credit. We show that the severity of the Eurozone crisis was worse in … countries where firms borrowed more from domestic banks ("domestic bank dependence") than in countries where firms borrowed more … from international banks. Eurozone banking integration in the years 2000-2008 mainly involved cross-border lending between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119808
During the Great Recession, despite the large fall in output, inflation did not fall much. This is known as the missing deflation puzzle. In this paper, we develop and estimate a New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model to provide an explanation for the puzzle. The new model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011292980
real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during and in the aftermath of the great recession. We replicate this … estimated framework to quantify the output loss due to the large uncertainty shock that materialized in 2008Q3. We find such a … shock to be able to explain about 60% of the output loss in the 2008-2014 period. The same estimated model unveils the role …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495676