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Does the current account improve or deteriorate following a monetary policy expansion? We examine this issue theoretically and empirically. We show that a standard open economy DSGE model predicts that the current account response to a monetary policy shock depends on the degree of economic...
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Declining inflation rates might have negative consequences for tax revenues. Phenomena like the inflationary bracket … lay the theoretical base followed by a descriptive view on the relation between inflation, growth and tax revenues in the … reveal that an end of inflation would have a negative impact on tax revenues for a number of OECD countries. The results also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428323
This paper uses a "trendy" approach to understand UK inflation dynamics. It focuses on the time series to isolate a low …-frequency and slow-moving component of inflation (the trend) from deviations around this trend. We find that this slow-moving trend … explains a substantial share of UK inflation dynamics. International prices are significantly correlated with the short …
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. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671018
number of inflation and real activity measures for the United States. We identify demand and supply factors by imposing … demand and supply over the past five decades. The most recent factor estimates indicate that the inflation surge since mid … exposure of the euro area to recent adverse global energy price shocks. We further find that tighter monetary policy and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013460150
We assess the effects of financial shocks on inflation, and to what extent financial shocks can account for the … shocks through sign restrictions. Our main finding is that expansionary financial shocks temporarily lower inflation. This … during the latest financial crisis. We then explore the transmission channels of financial shocks relevant for inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546785