This paper evaluates the profitability of applying four different volatility forecasting models to the trading of … applied in this paper are: historical volatility, two ARCH models, and an autoregressive model for the volatility index. VDAX …. The ARCH models perform best in generating profits for market makers. Forecasts based on historical volatility also …

Empirical evidence indicates that high oil price volatility has a dampening effect on output in countries that import … of commodity price volatility in commodity exporting countries accounting for both oil and non-oil commodities. To that … significant negative impact of price volatility on real output for oil exporters. Our results for exporters of other commodities …

average higher volatility of output growth (1) accumulated higher external assets in the long-run and (2) experienced more …

that a rise in conditional consumption growth volatility relative to the rest of the world reduces the foreign exchange … relation between the volatility in consumption growth and the level of real interest rates relative to the world interest rate …We construct a measure of the short-term world interest rate using principal component analysis. Drawing on real …