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earnings forecasters, we see that small adjustments to the model forecasts lead to more forecast accuracy. Based on past track …
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We propose a novel multivariate GARCH model that incorporates realized measures for the variance matrix of returns. The key novelty is the joint formulation of a multivariate dynamic model for outer-products of returns, realized variances and realized covariances. The updating of the variance...
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-excitation for these series. Out-of-sample, we find that the models that include spillover effects forecast crashes and the Value …
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We investigate high-frequency volatility models for analyzing intra-day tick by tick stock price changes using Bayesian estimation procedures. Our key interest is the extraction of intra-day volatility patterns from high-frequency integer price changes. We account for the discrete nature of the...
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forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants …) and large markets (about 100 participants). In large markets the influence of an individual forecast on the realized price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
This paper provides an empirical description of the relationshipbetween the trading system operated by a stockexchange and the transaction costs faced by heterogeneous investors who use the exchange. Therecent introduction ofSETS in the London Stock Exchange provides an excellent opportunity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300557