Showing 1 - 10 of 12
If there is no priced risk - including volatility risk - associated with hedging an option, then expected delta hedging errors should be zero. This paper finds that delta hedging errors from writing options on foreign exchange futures are significantly positive and unexplained by standard asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012733536
Two recent strands of research have contributed to our understanding of the effects of foreign exchange intervention: 1) the use of high frequency data; 2) the use of event studies to evaluate the effects of intervention. This article surveys recent empirical studies of the effect of foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012736252
Consistent with findings in other markets, implied volatility is a biased predictor of the realized volatility of gold futures. No existing explanation - including a price of volatility risk - can completely explain the bias, but much of this apparent bias can be explained by persistence and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012738761
This paper is the first to characterize the tatonnement of high-frequency returns from U.S. Treasury spot and futures markets. In particular, we highlight the previously neglected role of the futures markets in price discovery. The lower-bound estimate of bivariate information shares for 30-year...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732956
This paper presents the results of a survey of monetary authorities with respect to their beliefs about foreign exchange intervention. The survey provides evidence on new intervention issues that would be difficult to investigate otherwise, such as conditional response times, non-foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012733229
We analyze the intertemporal stability of returns to technical trading rules in the foreign exchange market by conducting true, out-of-sample tests on previously published rules. The excess returns of the 1970s and 1980s were genuine and not just the result of data mining. But these profit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721552
This paper characterizes the tatonnement of high-frequency returns from U.S. Treasury spot and futures markets. In particular, we highlight the previously neglected role of the futures markets in price discovery. The highest futures market shares are in the longest maturities. The estimates of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728973
This paper finds that standard asset pricing models fail to explain the significantly negative delta hedging errors from buying options on foreign exchange futures. Foreign exchange volatility does influence stock returns, however. The volatility of the JPY/USD exchange rate predicts the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012731622
This paper merges the literature on technical trading rules with the literature on Markov switching to develop economically useful trading rules. The Markov models' out-of sample, excess returns modestly exceed those of standard technical rules and are profitable over the most recent subsample....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067563
Event studies show that Fed unconventional announcements of forward guidance and large scale asset purchases had large and desired effects on asset prices but do not tell us how long such effects last. Wright (2012) used a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) to argue that unconventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058900