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fundamental role in shaping unemployment movements. Thisrole has generally been examined by considering indirect transmission …-equation unemployment rate models... …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861659
causes of the unemployment upturn in 1973-1983 and the subsequent decline in 1993-2006. Our results show that (i) the main … determinants of the unemployment rise in the 1970s and early 1980s were wage-push factors, the two oil price shocks and the … increase in interest rates, and (ii) the acceleration in capital accumulation was the crucial driving force of unemployment in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765309
We develop an adjustment procedure to construct U.S. monthly time series of involuntary part-time employment stocks and flows from 1976 until today. Armed with these new data, we provide a comprehensive account of the dynamics of involuntary part-time work. Transitions from full-time to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910733
We use a novel approach to studying the heterogeneity in the job finding rates of the nonemployed by classifying the nonemployed by labor force status (LFS) histories, instead of using only one-month LFS. Job finding rates differ substantially across LFS histories: they are 25-30% among those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013042984
We document that fluctuations in part-time employment play a major role in movements in hours per worker, especially during cyclical swings in the labor market. Building on this result, we propose a novel representation of the intensive margin based on a stock-flow framework. The evolution of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995588
The COVID-19 pandemic has upended the U.S. economy and labor market. We assess the initial spike in unemployment due to … the virus response and possible paths for the official unemployment rate through 2021. Substantial uncertainty surrounds … the path for measured unemployment, depending on the path of the virus and containment measures and their impact on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832598
This paper measures the job-search responses to the COVID-19 pandemic using realtime data on vacancy postings and ad views on Sweden's largest online job board. First, the labour demand shock in Sweden is as large as in the US, and affects industries and occupations heterogeneously. Second, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833886
This article explores the long-run relationship between unemployment rate and labor force participation rate in Canada … leads us to doubt the pertinence of the unemployment invariance hypothesis for Canada. This is consistent with the empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983895
role for the cyclicality of the unemployment outflow rate, although the contribution of the duration of unemployment is … significant. In contrast, composition effects dampen the cyclicality of the unemployment inflow rate considerably. We further … observe that the initially positive contribution of composition effects to a higher unemployment outflow rate turns negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110186
This paper provides a model of "social hysteresis" whereby long, deep recessions demotivate workers and thereby lead them to change their work ethic. In switching from a pro-work to an anti-work identity, their incentives to seek and retain work fall and consequently their employment chances...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080876