This paper argues that hysteresis helps explain the long-run behavior of unemployment. The natural rate of unemployment … is influenced by the path of actual unemployment, and hence by shifts in aggregate demand. I review past evidence for …

-market slack is captured by the level of short-term unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the Survey …

Standard search and matching models of equilibrium unemployment, once properly calibrated, can generate only a small …

The recent European experience of high persistent unemployment has led to the development of theories of unemployment … hysteresis embodying the idea that the equilibrium unemployment rate depends on the history of the actual unemployment rate. This …

This study constructs a new data set on unemployment rates in Latin America and the Caribbean and then explores the … determinants of unemployment. We compare different countries, finding that unemployment is influenced by the size of the rural … unemployment over time, finding that they are caused by contractions in aggregate demand. These demand contractions result from …

This paper asks how well Okun's Law fits short-run unemployment movements in the United States since 1948 and in twenty … the unemployment rate - varies substantially across countries. This variation is partly explained by idiosyncratic …

set of contingent claims conditional on this risk.We use the model to evaluate a tax-financed unemployment insurance … stochastic ones---generate rather limited unemployment effects, unless workers are close to indifferent between working and not …

European unemployment has been steadily increasing for the last 15 years and isexpected to remain very high for many … years to come. In this paper, we argue thatthis fact implies that shocks have much more persistent effects on unemployment … and firms, shocks which affect actual unemployment tend also to affectequilibrium unemployment. We then confront the …