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Housing Wealth Effects : The Long View
Guren, Adam M. - 2018
We provide new time-varying estimates of the housing wealth effect back to the 1980s. These estimates are based on a new identification strategy that exploits systematic differences in city-level exposure to regional house price cycles as an instrument for house prices. Our estimates of housing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916597
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Momentum Crashes
Daniel, Kent D. - 2015
Despite their strong positive average returns across numerous asset classes, momentum strategies can experience infrequent and persistent strings of negative returns. These momentum crashes are partly forecastable. They occur in "panic" states - following market declines and when market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032704
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U.S. Stock Market Crash Risk, 1926-2006
Bates, David S. - 2009
This paper applies the Bates (RFS, 2006) methodology to the problem of estimating and filtering time- changed Lévy processes, using daily data on U.S. stock market excess returns over 1926-2006. In contrast to density-based filtration approaches, the methodology recursively updates the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160343
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Paradox of Thrift Recessions
Huo, Zhen - 2013
We build a variation of the neoclassical growth model in which both wealth shocks (in the sense of wealth destruction) and financial shocks to households generate recessions. The model features three mild departures from the standard model: (1) adjustment costs make it difficult to expand the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075867
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Lifecycle Impacts of the Financial and Economic Crisis on Household Optimal Consumption, Portfolio Choice, and Labor Supply
Chai, Jingjing - 2011
The direct financial impact of the financial crisis has been to deal a heavy blow to investment-based pensions; many workers lost a substantial portion of their retirement saving. The financial sector implosion produced an economic crisis for the rest of the economy via high unemployment and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123696
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When in Peril, Retrench : Testing the Portfolio Channel of Contagion
Broner, Fernando; Gelos, Gaston; Reinhart, Carmen M. - 2021
One plausible mechanism through which financial market shocks may propagate across countries is through the effect of past gains and losses on investors' risk aversion. The paper first presents a simple model examining how heterogeneous changes in investors' risk aversion affects portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226581
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Evaporating Liquidity
Nagel, Stefan - 2011
liquidity provision. Analysis of reversal strategies shows that the expected return from liquidity provision is strongly time … Ratios during times of high VIX. The results point to withdrawal of liquidity supply, and an associated increase in the … expected returns from liquidity provision, as a main driver behind the evaporation of liquidity during times of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117559
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Fire Sales in a Model of Complexity
Caballero, Ricardo J. - 2009
Financial assets provide return and liquidity services to their holders. However, during severe financial crises many … asset prices plummet, destroying their liquidity provision function at the worst possible time. In this paper we present a … not control or understand. The liquidity of the market quickly vanishes and a financial crisis ensues. The model exhibits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155022
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Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets
Diebold, Francis X. - 2010
We provide a simple and intuitive measure of interdependence of asset returns and/or volatilities. In particular, we formulate and examine precise and separate measures of return spillovers and volatility spillovers. Our framework facilitates study of both non-crisis and crisis episodes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759516
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Stock Volatility During the Recent Financial Crisis
Schwert, G. William - 2011
This paper uses monthly returns from 1802-2010, daily returns from 1885-2010, and intraday returns from 1982-2010 in the United States to show how stock volatility has changed over time. It also uses various measures of volatility implied by option prices to infer what the market was expecting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126204