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Forecasting Crashes : Trading Volume, Past Returns and Conditional Skewness in Stock Prices
Chen, Joseph - 2010
This paper is an investigation into the determinants of asymmetries in stock returns. We develop a series of cross-sectional regression specifications which attempt to forecast skewness in the daily returns of individual stocks. Negative skewness is most pronounced in stocks that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763325
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Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets
Froot, Kenneth - 2004
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786275
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Why Does the Stock Market Fluctuate?
Barsky, Robert - 2002
Large long-run swings in the United States stock market over the past century correspond to swings in estimates of fundamental values calculated by using a long moving average of past dividend growth to forecast future growth rates. Such a procedure would have been reasonable if investors were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787482
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Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation
Bianchi, Francesco - 2016
The U.S. economy is characterized by large, longer term regime shifts in asset values relative to macroeconomic fundamentals. These movements coincide with shifts in the real federal funds rate in excess of a measure of the natural rate of interest, and in equity market return premia. We specify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984111
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Learning About CEO Ability and Stock Return Volatility
Pan, Yihui - 2013
stock price reaction to news, and hence lowering the stock return volatility. Thus, in addition to uncertainty about … fundamentals, uncertainty about CEO quality is also a source of stock return volatility, which decreases over a CEO's tenure as the …'s prospects. Overall, uncertainty about management quality appears to be an important source of stock return volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085131
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The Joint Cross Section of Stocks and Options
An, Byeong-Je - 2013
volatility over the next month, but with decreasing realized volatility. These predictability patterns are consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073570
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Capitalization of Capital Gains Taxes : Evidence from Stock Price Reactions to the 1997 Rate Reduction
Lang, Mark H. - 2012
We empirically document that stock prices moved inversely with dividend yields during the May, 1997 week, when the White House and Congress agreed on a budget accord that included a reduction in the capital gains tax rate. The share prices of firms not currently paying dividends increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756027
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The Share Price Effects of Dividend Taxes and Tax Imputation Credits
Harris, Trevor S. - 2008
magnitude of the implied tax discount for retained earnings, as are differences in dividend tax rates across Australia, Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774805
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Taxation and the Sources of Growth : Estimates from United States Multinational Corporations
Cummins, Jason G. - 2022
Capital income tax policy affects investment by the parent and affiliates of multinational corporations (MNCs). In a model in which technical advances are embodied in new capital, investment will translate directly into productivity gains. In this paper, I use this framework to guide the growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322112
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Meteor Showers or Heat Waves? Heteroskedastic Intra-Daily Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market
Engle, Robert F. - 2010
. Assuming that news has only country specific autocorrelation such as a heat wave. any intra-daily volatility spillovers (meteor …. Using a volatility type of vector autoregression we examine the impact of news in one market on the time path of volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762800