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When central banks set nominal interest rates according to an interest rate reaction function, such as the Taylor rule, and the exchange rate is priced by uncovered interest parity, the real exchange rate is determined by expected inflation differentials and output gap differentials. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237961
autonomy in a world of large capital flows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001776
Two explanations are given for why nominal or real returns differ across currencies: foreign exchange risk premia and systematic (rational) forecast errors. This study reexamines three parity conditions in international finance, uncovered interest parity, purchasing power parity, and real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223577
This paper studies how the monetary policy regime affects the relative importance of nominal exchange rates and inflation rates in shaping the response of real exchange rates to shocks. We document two facts about inflation-targeting countries. First, the current real exchange rate predicts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963169
Under uncovered interest parity (UIP), the size of the effect on the real exchange rate of an anticipated change in real interest rate differentials is invariant to the horizon at which the change is expected. Empirical evidence using US, euro area and UK data points to a substantial deviation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324699
monetary authorities have no control over their real rate relative to the world rate, limiting the impact of their … economy models which allow: 1) domestic real rates to differ from world rates, 2) time varying risk premiums in the forward … policy makers to exertsome control over their domestic real rate relative to those in the rest of the world. However, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228033
larger fraction of the world economy. I show that differences in the size of economies indeed explain a large fraction of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106653
This paper studies how several macrofinancial factors are associated over time with the evolution of covered interest parity (CIP) deviations in the decade after the Global Financial Crisis. Changes in a number of risk- and policy-related factors have a significant association with the evolution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865278
inescapable in the real world of asymmetric information and imperfect contract enforcement. I argue, however, that in confronting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224934
Required reserves on banks' deposit liabilities have been utilized by both industrial and developing countries to discourage and sterilize international capital flows. In this paper we utilize an open economy macro model incorporating bank credit to evaluate this policy. The model suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247649