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A banking crisis began in Austria in May 1931 and intensified in July, when runs struck banks throughout Germany. In September, the crisis compelled Britain to quit the gold standard. Newly discovered data shows that failure rates rose for banks in New York City, at the center of the United...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465673
As a result of the BoJ's large-scale asset purchases, the consolidated Japanese government borrows mostly at the floating rate from households and invests in longer-duration risky assets to earn an extra 3% of GDP. We quantify the impact of Japan's low-rate policies on its government and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436981
. Thus, financial repression is most successful in liquidating debts when accompanied by a steady dose of inflation …. Inflation need not take market participants entirely by surprise and, in effect, it need not be very high (by historic standards … amounted on average from 3 to 4 percent of GDP a year. For Australia and Italy, which recorded higher inflation rates, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461764
We present a signalling theory of Quantitative Easing (QE) at the zero lower bound on the short term nominal interest rate. QE is effective because it generates a credible signal of low future real interest rates in a time consistent equilibrium. We show these results in two models. One has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457331
inflation (with base drift in the price level) and price-level stability (without such base drift) are compared, and a suitable … loss function (corresponding to flexible inflation targeting) is discussed, including the index and level for the inflation … price stability. The benefits of credibility (private inflation expectations coinciding with the inflation target) are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471258
This paper reconsiders a result obtained by Sargent and Wallace, namely, that price level indeterminacy obtains in their well-known model if the monetary authorities adopt a policy feedback rule for the interest rate rather than the money stock. Since the Federal Reserve seems often to have used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478574
. Deflation subsided by 2005. As soon as inflation appeared to stabilize near a rate of zero, the Bank of Japan rapidly reduced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463084
linking interest rates to forecasts of future inflation. Such rules have been found to give rise to aggregate fluctuations due … interest-rate rules whereby the central bank responds to a measure of past inflation. The consensus view that has emerged is … inflation are likely to ensure global stability provided that the coefficient on lagged interest rates is greater than unity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469142
The fiscal theory states that inflation adjusts so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of … determines the path of expected inflation, while news about the present value of surpluses drives unexpected inflation. I use … fiscal theory to interpret historical episodes, including the rise and fall of inflation in the 1970s and 1980s, the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361983
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001731309