Showing 1 - 10 of 10
method to electricity prices and test spot prices forecasts until one month ahead forecast. We conclude that the k …-factor GIGARCH process is a suitable tool to forecast spot prices, using the classical RMSE criteria. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738481
method to electricity prices and test spot prices forecasts until one month ahead forecast. We conclude that the k …-factor GIGARCH process is a suitable tool to forecast spot prices, using the classical RMSE criteria. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738662
In this paper we deal with the problem of non-stationarity encountered in a lot of data sets, mainly in financial and economics domains, coming from the presence of multiple seasonnalities, jumps, volatility, distorsion, aggregation, etc. Existence of non-stationarity involves spurious behaviors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750362
This article questions the empirical usefulness of leverage effects to describe the dynamics of equity returns. Using a recursive estimation scheme that accurately disentangles the asymmetry coming from the conditional distribution of returns and the asymmetry that is related to the past return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025593
This paper focuses on the identification and short term forecast of the correlation between the Labor Productivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010601713
The aim of this paper is to identify the fundamental factors that drive the allowances market and to built an APT-like model in order to provide accurate forecasts for CO2. We show that historic dependency patterns emphasis energy, natural gas, oil, coal and equity indexes as major factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603635
An empirical forecast accuracy comparison of the non-parametric method, known as multivariate Nearest Neighbor method … for dependent time series, providing confidence intervals for point forecast in time series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603668
An empirical forecast accuracy comparison of the non-parametric method, known as multivariate Nearest Neighbor method … for dependent time series, providing confidence intervals for point forecast in time series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603674
Arbitrage Pricing Theory-like models and showed that they have a good forecast capacity. Those models enabled us to quantify the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603685
Cet article propose un cadre théorique et méthodologique unifie caractérisé par la priseen compte explicite des intéractions technologiques dans la modélisation des processus decroissance en adoptant une perspective Schumpétérienne. L'interdépendance globale impliquée par les...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008790565