Showing 1 - 10 of 39
). This transformation adjusts the moneyness coordinate of the implied volatility smile in an attempt to remove the … indicate that in a statistical sense there remains a possibility that the implied volatility smiles are still not the same … utilizes the dynamic structure of implied volatility surface allowing out-of-sample forecasting and information on unleveraged …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437891
We propose a new method to estimate the empirical pricing kernel based on option data. We estimate the pricing kernel nonparametrically by using the ratio of the risk-neutral density estimator and the subjective density estimator. The risk-neutral density is approximated by a weighted kernel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010462645
this calibration risk in a time series of DAX implied volatility surfaces from April 2003 to March 2004. We analyze in the … functional. Moreover, we determine the model risk of these two stochastic volatility models for the time series and consider its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003324181
interpreted as volatility, skewness and tail factors.We also find evidence for term structure variation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011530075
. The weather derivative market is therefore incomplete. This paper implements a pricing methodology for weather derivatives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796146
Forecasting based pricing of Weather Derivatives (WDs) is a new approach in valuation of contingent claims on nontradable underlyings. Standard techniques are based on historical weather data. Forward-looking information such as meteorological forecasts or the implied market price of risk (MPR)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009511156
. The spatial derivative price distribution involves a risk premium. We examine functional principal components of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008906018
Many industries are exposed to weather risk which they can transfer on financial markets via weather derivatives. Equilibrium models based on partial market clearing became a useful tool for pricing such kind of financial instruments. In a multi-period equilibrium pricing model agents rebalance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009266834
A State Price Density (SPD) is the density function of a risk neutral equivalent martingale measure for option pricing, and is indispensible for exotic option pricing and portfolio risk management. Many approaches have been proposed in the last two decades to calibrate a SPD using financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009741915
On the temperature derivative market, modeling temperature volatility is an important issue for pricing and hedging. In … describe the volatility process well. Therefore, we consider a local adaptive modeling approach to find at each time point, an … optimal smoothing parameter to locally estimate the seasonality and volatility. Our approach provides a more flexible and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008772624