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Kirchgässner, Gebhard; Savioz, Marcel - 1999

Using quarterly data for the Federal Republic of Germany, we generate four-quarter-ahead forecasts for real GDP growth. Throughout the seventies and eighties, real M1 is still the best predictor. It clearly outperforms interest rate-based forecasts, and within this group short-run interest rates...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014212154