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We evaluate quartile rankings of countries during the Covid-19 pandemic using both official (confirmed) and excess mortality data. By December 2021, the quartile rankings of three-fifths of the countries differ when ranked by excess vs. official mortality. Countries that are ‘doing...
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The pronounced and persistent impact of the global financial crisis of 2008 motivates our empirical analysis of the role of institutions and macroeconomic fundamentals on countries' adjustment to shocks. Our empirical analysis shows that the associations of growth level, growth volatility,...
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We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for a large number of countries within and outside of Europe, before and … zone countries, and the PIIGS in particular, as elsewhere in the world. We validate that fiscal space has been an important … determinant of market-based sovereign risk, and find evidence of mispricing in PIIGS given current fiscal space and other current …
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