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We study how changes in the steady-state real interest rate affect the optimal inflation target in a New Keynesian DSGE … model with trend inflation and a lower bound on the nominal interest rate. In this setup, a lower steady-state real interest … rate increases the probability of hitting the lower bound. That effect can be counteracted by an increase in the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012136959
We study how changes in the value of the steady-state real interest rate affect the optimal inflation target, both in …-for-one: increases in the optimal inflation rate are generally lower than declines in the steady state real interest rate. Our approach … allows us not only to assess the uncertainty surrounding the optimal inflation target, but also to determine the latter while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923602
inflation, imperfect indexation, and a lower bound on the nominal interest rate. In this setup, a decrease in the steady … the inflation target of eighttenths the size of the drop in the real natural rate of interest is warranted. Absent an … increase in the inflation target, and assuming the effective lower bound prevents the European Central Bank from implementing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815104
Following the Asian financial crisis in 1997-98, a number of Asian central banks adopted inflation targeting. While it … is possible for the average inflation rate to be close to target, deviations of inflation could nevertheless be large and … protracted. We therefore explore how successful this framework has been by looking at the persistence of inflation, as measured …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120898
We study how changes in the steady-state real interest rate affect the optimal inflation target in a New Keynesian DSGE … model with trend inflation and a lower bound on the nominal interest rate. In this setup, a lower steady-state real interest … rate increases the probability of hitting the lower bound. That effect can be counteracted by an increase in the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388954
Following the Asian financial crisis in 1997-98, a number of Asian central banks adopted inflation targeting. We … explore how successful this framework has been by looking at the persistence of inflation, as measured by the sum of the … coefficients in an autoregressive model for inflation, using a median unbiased estimator and bootstrapped confidence bands. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008684680
Following the Asian financial crisis in 1997-98, a number of Asian central banks adopted inflation targeting. While it … is possible for the average inflation rate to be close to target, deviations of inflation could nevertheless be large and … protracted. We therefore explore how successful this framework has been by looking at the persistence of inflation, as measured …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009279928
Following the Asian financial crisis in 1997–1998, a number of regional central banks adopted inflation targeting …. While it is possible for the average inflation rate to be close to target, deviations of inflation could nevertheless be … large and protracted. We therefore explore how successful this framework has been by looking at the persistence of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010664180
inflation and aggregate output. Our main findings are threefold. First, monetary policy affects the probability of a crisis both … central bank can both reduce the probability of a crisis and increase welfare by departing from strict inflation targeting and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794628
inflation and output. Our main findings are threefold. First, monetary policy affects the probability of a crisis both in the … reduce the probability of a crisis and increase welfare by departing from strict inflation targeting and responding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492381