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The role of sectoral interactions in wage determination in the UK economy
Lee, Kevin C.; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 1992
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000137148
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Forecast uncertainties in macroeconometric modelling : an application to the UK economy
Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2000
This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001539419
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Forecast Uncertainties in Macroeconometric Modelling : An Application to the UK Economy
Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Shin, … - 2021
This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321125
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Uncertainty and economic activity : a global perspective
Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2014
The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics. This paper studies the interrelation between financial markets volatility and economic activity assuming that both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286232
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Uncertainty and economic activity : a global perspective
Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2014
The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics based on the premise that uncertainty causes economic activity to slow down and contract. In this paper, we study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338658
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Conditional volatility and correlations of weekly returns and the VaR analysis of 2008 stock market crash
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981032
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Conditional volatility and correlations of weekly returns and the VaR analysis of 2008 stock market crash
Pesaran, Bahram; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010
making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how … adequate these models are for modelling market risk at times of financial crisis. In doing so we consider a multivariate t …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
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Uncertainty and economic activity : a global perspective
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Rebucci, … - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356264
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Conditional Volatility and Correlations of Weekly Returns and the VaR Analysis of 2008 Stock Market Crash
Pesaran, Bahram - 2013
making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how … adequate these models are for modelling market risk at times of financial crisis. In doing so we consider a multivariate t …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094817
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Uncertainty and Economic Activity
Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio - 2014
The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics based on the premise that uncertainty causes economic activity to slow down and contract. In this paper, we study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054500